Ole Miss vs Southern Miss

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-12-13 03:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-13 11:07 AM EST

Ole Miss vs Southern Miss on 2025-12-13

💰 Best Bet #1 [Ole Miss / Spread / -14.5 at -110 / 65% / Ole Miss dominates with superior adjusted efficiency ratings and home-court advantage, covering in 62% of simulations against weaker Southern Miss defense.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 144.5 at -110 / 60% / Both teams show moderate pace and rebounding vulnerabilities, leading to higher-scoring outcomes in 58% of sims with average total at 145.5 points.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Ole Miss / Moneyline / -900 / 78% / Strong win probability backed by recent form and talent edge over Southern Miss.]

Game Times

ET: 3:00 PM
CT: 2:00 PM
MT: 1:00 PM
PT: 12:00 PM
AKT: 11:00 AM
HST: 9:00 AM

💸 Public Bets
[75% / 25%]

💰 Money Distribution
[80% / 20%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
Line opened at -13.5 and moved to -14.5 with heavy action on Ole Miss, indicating sharp support despite public favoritism.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3.2% on Ole Miss spread; simulations and efficiency metrics show value against implied odds, with no major injury disruptions.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Ole Miss | 78.00% |
| Win % for Southern Miss | 20.00% |
| Spread Cover % for Ole Miss | 62.00% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 58.00% / Under: 42.00% |
| Average Total Points | 145.50 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [2.50, 25.00] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment heavily favors Ole Miss, aligning with sharp money and line movement, making a follow on the favorite optimal based on talent disparity and home advantage. Southern Miss struggles with defensive rebounding, allowing opponents to push tempo. Overall game outlook points to a moderate-scoring affair, but Ole Miss’s efficiency tips toward the over.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Ole Miss] — simulations confirm the highest probability of success on the favorite.

Highlights unavailable.