Oregon State vs Montana State

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-12-13 05:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-13 11:21 AM EST

Top 3 Overall Best Bets

💰 Best Bet #1 [Oregon State / Spread / -2.5 at -110 / 55% / Oregon State holds a stronger record at 5-5 compared to Montana State’s 4-6, with home-court advantage and simulation showing a 55% cover rate against a middling Bobcats defense allowing 72 points per game.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 141.5 at -110 / 52% / Both teams average around 70 points offensively in recent outings, with Oregon State’s pace pushing totals higher; recent trends and matchup efficiency suggest a slight lean over the line.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Oregon State / Moneyline / -140 / 60% / Beavers’ superior efficiency ratings and home dominance give them a clear edge, backed by 60% win probability in simulations despite Montana State’s road struggles.]

Oregon State vs Montana State on 2025-12-13

Game Times

ET: 5:00 PM
CT: 4:00 PM
MT: 3:00 PM
PT: 2:00 PM
AKT: 1:00 PM
HST: 11:00 AM

💸 Public Bets
[65% Oregon State / 35% Montana State]

💰 Money Distribution
[55% Oregon State / 45% Montana State]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
Line opened at -3 for Oregon State and ticked down to -2.5 with balanced action, showing stability despite moderate public lean toward the favorite.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3.2% on Oregon State spread; consensus from efficiency metrics and line stability indicates value against a public-heavy but sharp-supported home side.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Oregon State | 60% |
| Win % for Montana State | 35% |
| Spread Cover % for Oregon State | 55% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 52% / Under: 48% |
| Average Total Points | 142 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-10, 15] |

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment leans toward Oregon State, aligning with sharp money distribution and stable line movement, making a follow on the Beavers optimal rather than fading. Oregon State’s home efficiency and Montana State’s road defensive lapses support a moderate-scoring affair around 142 points, with no major injuries shifting the outlook beyond guard Keziah Ekissi’s questionable status. Overall, the matchup favors the home team without strong contrarian signals.

🔮 Recommended Play

[Follow the public with Oregon State] — simulation and market consensus point to the highest probability of success on the spread and moneyline.

Highlights unavailable.