Oregon vs Ohio State

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-08 10:30 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-08 11:25 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [Ohio State / Spread / -5.5 at -110 / 55% / Ohio State shows strong home efficiency and defensive rebounding edge, covering in 54% of simulations against Oregon’s road struggles.]
💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 141.5 at -110 / 52% / Both teams exhibit moderate pace with Oregon allowing fewer transition points on the road, aligning with under in recent matchups.]
💰 Best Bet #3 [Ohio State / Moneyline / -240 / 60% / Buckeyes’ superior adjusted efficiency and home advantage yield 59.8% win probability per simulations.]

Oregon vs Ohio State on 2026-01-08

Game Times

ET: 10:30 PM
CT: 9:30 PM
MT: 8:30 PM
PT: 7:30 PM
AKT: 6:30 PM
HST: 4:30 PM

💸 Public Bets

[58% Ohio State / 42% Oregon]

💰 Money Distribution

[65% Ohio State / 35% Oregon]

💹 Market Alignment

[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement

Line opened at Ohio State -5 and held steady at -5.5 despite moderate public action on the favorite, indicating sharp stability.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)

[+3.2% on Ohio State spread] — Simulations and efficiency metrics support a modest edge, with line value persisting after accounting for home factors.

Simulation Results

| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Oregon | 38.2% |
| Win % for Ohio State | 59.8% |
| Ties | 2.0% |
| Spread Cover % for Ohio State -5.5 | 54.1% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48.3% / Under: 51.7% |
| Average Total Points | 141.2 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin (Ohio State – Oregon) | [-12.5, 23.1] |

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment leans toward Ohio State, aligning with sharp money and simulation outcomes, making a follow strategy optimal without need for fading. Oregon’s recent road form shows vulnerability to Ohio State’s defensive tempo, supporting the cover. Overall game scoring projects moderately low, with both offenses facing rebounding challenges leading to a tighter contest under the total.

🔮 Recommended Play

[Follow the public with Ohio State] — Mathematical probability favors the Buckeyes based on win projections and market consensus.

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