Orlando Magic vs New York Knicks

League: NBA | Date: 2025-11-22 05:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-11-22 07:26 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [New York Knicks / Spread / -1.5 at -110 / 55% / Knicks hold a stronger record at 9-5 compared to Magic’s 9-7, with Jalen Brunson in top form averaging 28.0 points; line movement shows stability favoring the road team despite Magic’s home streak.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 220.5 at -110 / 58% / Both teams rank in the top half for defensive ratings this season, with Orlando allowing under 105 points in recent home wins; pace is moderate, projecting a grind-it-out affair below the total.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [New York Knicks / Moneyline / -115 / 52% / Superior offensive efficiency and Brunson’s return give Knicks the edge in a close matchup, supported by sharp money alignment.]

Orlando Magic vs New York Knicks on 2025-11-22

Game Times

ET: 05:00 PM
CT: 04:00 PM
MT: 03:00 PM
PT: 02:00 PM
AKT: 01:00 PM
HST: 11:00 AM

💸 Public Bets

[45% Orlando Magic / 55% New York Knicks]

💰 Money Distribution

[40% Orlando Magic / 60% New York Knicks]

💹 Market Alignment

[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement

Line opened at Knicks -2 and has ticked to -1.5 with balanced action; no significant reverse movement, indicating consensus on the slight road favorite.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)

[+2.5% on Knicks spread / Public and money percentages converge with Knicks’ better net rating (+4.2 this season vs. Magic’s +1.8), creating value against a home underdog inflated by recent streak.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Orlando Magic | 48% |
| Win % for New York Knicks | 52% |
| Spread Cover % for Orlando Magic (+1.5) | 52% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Points | 218.4 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-4.2, +3.8] |

Top 3 Player Props

Player Prop #1: Jalen Brunson / Over Points / 27.5 at -110 / 65% / Brunson averages 28.0 points on 46.8% shooting this season, exceeding this line in 70% of games; Knicks’ usage rises against Orlando’s perimeter defense allowing 25+ to guards.
Player Prop #2: Franz Wagner / Over Points / 20.5 at -110 / 60% / Wagner hits 22.1 points per game in home matchups, with Magic’s pace favoring his 18.5 usage rate; Knicks allow 22+ to wings in recent road games.
Player Prop #3: Paolo Banchero / Under Points / 24.5 at -110 / 62% / Banchero’s efficiency dips to 42% vs. Knicks’ top-10 forward defense, under this line in 65% of similar matchups; minor groin concern limits minutes.

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment leans Knicks with money following suit, aligning with sharp action on the road favorite amid stable lines—no fade opportunity emerges as metrics confirm the edge. Orlando’s home defense caps scoring potential, projecting a low-total game under 220.5 based on both teams’ top-15 defensive ratings and turnover-prone styles. Follow the consensus for optimal EV in this evenly matched Eastern Conference tilt.

🔮 Recommended Play

Follow the public with New York Knicks — superior form and matchup advantages yield the highest win probability.

Highlights unavailable.