Orlando Magic vs Philadelphia 76ers

League: NBA | Date: 2026-01-09 07:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-09 06:22 PM EST

Orlando Magic vs Philadelphia 76ers on 2026-01-09

💰 Best Bet #1 [Orlando Magic / Spread / +1.5 at -110 / 55% / Magic’s strong home defense and key injuries to both sides create value on the underdog spread, with simulation showing solid cover probability despite slight road edge for Philly.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 221.5 at -110 / 51% / Both teams rank in the bottom half for pace and efficiency this season, with injuries limiting scoring options and recent games trending low.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Philadelphia 76ers / Moneyline / -130 / 52% / 76ers hold a narrow edge in win probability due to better overall rating and Embiid’s probable status boosting interior play.]

Game Times
ET: 07:00 PM
CT: 06:00 PM
MT: 05:00 PM
PT: 04:00 PM
AKT: 03:00 PM
HST: 01:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
[45% Orlando Magic / 55% Philadelphia 76ers]

💰 Money Distribution
[48% Orlando Magic / 52% Philadelphia 76ers]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
Line opened at 76ers -2 and moved to -1.5 with balanced action, no significant RLM indicating sharp play on either side.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3.2% on Magic spread / Public leans Philly but simulation and injury context favor close game, creating value on home underdog without forcing a fade.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Orlando Magic | 48.2% |
| Win % for Philadelphia 76ers | 51.8% |
| Spread Cover % for Orlando Magic (+1.5) | 55.1% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 49.3% / Under: 50.7% |
| Average Total Points | 220.8 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-8.4, 9.2] |

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment slightly favors the 76ers, aligning with money distribution and no major divergence, making a follow on Philly’s moneyline viable but the Magic spread offers better EV given injuries like Wagner out for Orlando and Embiid questionable for Philly. Sharp action appears balanced, with no clear RLM to fade the public. Overall game scoring outlook points to a lower total, as both defenses perform well against depleted offenses, averaging under 110 points allowed in recent matchups.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Philadelphia 76ers / No clear edge on spread but value leans home cover]

Highlights unavailable.