Philadelphia 76ers vs Atlanta Hawks

League: NBA | Date: 2025-11-30 06:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-11-30 05:40 PM EST

Philadelphia 76ers vs Atlanta Hawks on 2025-11-30

💰 Best Bet #1 Philadelphia 76ers / Spread / -2.5 at -105 / 55% / Home team holds edge in simulations with 51.8% cover rate on similar line, supported by defensive metrics and Hawks’ key absences like Trae Young.

💰 Best Bet #2 Over / Total / 227.5 at -110 / 53% / Both teams play at elevated pace in current season, average total aligns at 225 with 52.3% over probability factoring injuries thinning frontcourts.

💰 Best Bet #3 Philadelphia 76ers / Moneyline / -130 / 54% / 54.2% win probability in 10k sims, bolstered by home-court advantage despite mutual star injuries.

Game Times
ET: 6:00 PM
CT: 5:00 PM
MT: 4:00 PM
PT: 3:00 PM
AKT: 2:00 PM
HST: 12:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
65% PHI / 35% ATL

💰 Money Distribution
58% PHI / 42% ATL

💹 Market Alignment
Divergent

📉 Line Movement
Opened PHI -3, moved to -2.5 amid injury news on both sides, slight sharp action on home spread.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+3.2% on PHI spread — sim convergence with RLM against early public fade, current season ATS trends favor home in high-pace matchups.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Philadelphia 76ers | 54.2% |
| Win % for Atlanta Hawks | 45.8% |
| Spread Cover % for Philadelphia 76ers (-1.5) | 51.8% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 52.3% / Under: 47.7% |
| Average Total Points | 225.0 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-21.5, 26.5] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster and injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public leans PHI but money slightly more balanced, with divergent action suggesting sharp interest in home spread amid RLM. Follow public on PHI with math confirming edge, as sims and trends align despite Embiid/PG out for PHI and Trae/Porzingis sidelined for ATL. Game projects moderately high-scoring with pace and depleted defenses pushing toward over.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Philadelphia 76ers — highest probability backed by sim win % and EV.

Highlights unavailable.