NBA

Phoenix Suns vs Orlando Magic

League: NBA | Game Time: 5:00 PM ET • 4:00 PM CT • 3:00 PM MT • 2:00 PM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-21 05:02 PM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Phoenix Suns / Spread / -3 at -110 / 55% / Suns hold 54% cover probability in sim with home advantage and Orlando missing Wagner; public/money alignment adds convergence
💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 217.5 at -115 / 68% / Sim projects 207 avg total (68% under) amid key injuries (Booker out, Wagner out) suppressing scoring; recent Suns games avg ~109 PPG
💰 Best Bet #3 Phoenix Suns / Moneyline / -152 / 58% / 57% win probability edges implied odds despite missing Booker; Magic road struggles and Suggs questionable tilt value

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Phoenix Suns | 57% |
| Win % for Orlando Magic | 43% |
| Spread Cover % for Phoenix Suns | 54% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 32% / Under: 68% |
| Average Total Points | 207 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-28, 34] |

🏀 Matchup: Phoenix Suns vs Orlando Magic
💸 Public Bets
[Suns 53% / Magic 47%]
💰 Money Distribution
[Suns 58% / Magic 42%]
💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]
📉 Line Movement
Stable at Suns -3 across major books
💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
Under 217.5 (+12% EV: sim 68% vs implied ~52%); Suns ML (+3% EV); Suns spread (+2% EV)

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment aligns with sharp money on Suns spread and ML, supported by sim edges and home-field factors, making follow optimal over any fade. Orlando’s Wagner out and Suggs questionable hampers offense, while Suns manage without Booker via depth. Overall game projects low-scoring (207 avg) due to depleted rosters and defensive metrics from recent form (Suns allowing 113.1 PPG).

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Suns — sim and alignment confirm highest probability.

Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.

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