Pittsburgh vs Ohio State

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-11-28 07:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-11-28 07:07 PM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [Pittsburgh / Spread / -4.5 at -110 / 52% / Pittsburgh holds a clear efficiency edge at home, with Ohio State’s recent form showing vulnerabilities against stronger defenses, supported by line stability and simulation cover probability.]
💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 148.5 at -110 / 55% / Both teams exhibit high-tempo play and efficient shooting metrics, with Pittsburgh’s home games averaging above the line and Ohio State’s eFG% pushing toward a higher-scoring affair despite moderate defensive ratings.]
💰 Best Bet #3 [Pittsburgh / Moneyline / -200 / 58% / Home advantage and superior adjusted offensive efficiency give Pittsburgh the edge in win probability, aligning with public sentiment and minimal injury disruptions.]

Pittsburgh vs Ohio State on 2025-11-28

Game Times

ET: 07:00 PM
CT: 06:00 PM
MT: 05:00 PM
PT: 04:00 PM
AKT: 03:00 PM
HST: 01:00 PM

💸 Public Bets

[Pittsburgh 65% / Ohio State 35%]

💰 Money Distribution

[Pittsburgh 55% / Ohio State 45%]

💹 Market Alignment

[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement

[Line opened at -4 and held steady at -4.5, with no significant reverse movement despite moderate public backing on the favorite.]

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)

[+2.5% on Pittsburgh spread, driven by efficiency gap (Pitt AdjOE 115.2 vs OSU 111.2) and home-court factors outweighing Ohio State’s shotmaking, confirmed by simulation probabilities.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Pittsburgh | 58% |
| Win % for Ohio State | 42% |
| Spread Cover % for Pittsburgh | 52% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 55% / Under: 45% |
| Average Total Points | 148.2 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-12, 20] |

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment leans toward Pittsburgh, aligning with sharp money indicators and mathematical projections from efficiency metrics and recent form, making following the favorite optimal rather than fading. Ohio State’s road struggles against mid-tier defenses further support this, with no major injuries altering the landscape. Overall game scoring outlook favors a moderate-paced contest pushing over the total, given both teams’ offensive rebounding rates and transition efficiency.

🔮 Recommended Play

[Follow the public with Pittsburgh] — the convergence of home advantage, line stability, and simulation win probability establishes the strongest mathematical edge for the home team.

Highlights unavailable.