Presbyterian vs
High Point
League: NCAAB | Game Time: 7:00 PM ET • 6:00 PM CT • 5:00 PM MT • 4:00 PM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-26 08:12 AM EST
💰 Best Bet #1 High Point Panthers / Spread / -11.5 at -110 / 62% / High Point’s superior recent scoring (avg 84 PPG in recent outings) overwhelms Presbyterian’s low-output offense (avg 64 PPG), with sim cover rate aligning against public dog bias.
💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 151.5 at -110 / 58% / Both teams’ recent games trend low (Presbyterian avg total 133, High Point mixed but matchup favors defense), public slight under lean confirmed by metrics.
💰 Best Bet #3 High Point Panthers / Moneyline / -750 / 85% / Dominant implied probability from lines and form, heavy sharp money resistance to public ML fade minimal.
Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for High Point Panthers | 85.2% |
| Win % for Presbyterian Blue Hose | 14.8% |
| Spread Cover % for High Point Panthers | 61.7% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 47.3% / Under: 52.7% |
| Average Total Points | 152.0 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-9.8, 34.2] |
Presbyterian Blue Hose vs High Point Panthers
💸 Public Bets
[Presbyterian 54% / High Point 46%]
💰 Money Distribution
[Presbyterian 59% / High Point 41%]
💹 Market Alignment
Divergent
📉 Line Movement
Stable at -11 to -11.5 across books, no RLM despite public dog bets
💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+3.5% on High Point -11.5 (sim 62% cover vs implied 52.4%, recent scoring disparity justifies fade of 54% public on dog)
Top 3 Player Props
Player Prop #1: Kezza Giffa (High Point) / Over Points / 18.5 at -110 / 72% / Giffa averages 19.2 PPG in recent games, favorable matchup vs Presbyterian weak interior defense allowing high efficiency.
Player Prop #2: RJ Gunn (Presbyterian) / Under Points / 14.5 at -110 / 68% / Gunn held under in low-possession games (avg 12.8 last 3), High Point forces turnovers limiting shots.
Player Prop #3: Zac Byrd (High Point) / Over Rebounds / 7.5 at -110 / 70% / Byrd grabs 8.1 RPG recently, exploits Presbyterian’s poor defensive rebounding (32% rate).
⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public bets lean dog on spread (54%) with money following (59%), but divergent ML heavy on favorite signals sharp split; math and sim favor fading public on Presbyterian +11.5 as High Point’s offensive edge shines. Overall game projects moderate scoring with under edge from Presbyterian’s defensive setup and low recent totals. Contrarian play optimal given EV convergence.
🔮 Recommended Play
Fade the public on Presbyterian — High Point covers with superior metrics.
Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.
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NCAAB