NCAAB

Presbyterian vs Longwood

League: NCAAB | Game Time: 7:00 PM ET • 6:00 PM CT • 5:00 PM MT • 4:00 PM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-19 09:10 PM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Presbyterian Blue Hose -4.5 at -140 62% Public bets (53%) and money (58%) aligned on home favorite with line steady around -4.5 to -7.5 across books supporting cover.

💰 Best Bet #2 Under 137.5 at -110 55% Recent Presbyterian game totaled 148 but current season low-major matchups trend under with defensive efficiencies converging below line.

💰 Best Bet #3 Presbyterian Blue Hose ML at -2000 75% Heavy favoritism backed by home advantage and public consensus despite limited recent away data.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Presbyterian Blue Hose | 75% |
| Win % for Longwood Lancers | 25% |
| Spread Cover % for Presbyterian Blue Hose | 60% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 51% / Under: 49% |
| Average Total Points | 137.5 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [1, 8] |

🏀 Matchup: Presbyterian Blue Hose vs Longwood Lancers on 2026-02-20

💸 Public Bets
Presbyterian 53% / Longwood 47%

💰 Money Distribution
Presbyterian 58% / Longwood 42%

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Stable around -4.5 (DK) with wider underdog lines at other books (+6.5/+7.5)

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+3% on Presbyterian spread cover (sim 60% vs implied 58%); positive EV from alignment and home metrics

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment aligns with sharp money indicators on the home favorite, making follow optimal over fade as no RLM or disparity evident. Presbyterian’s limited recent home form (70-78 loss) suggests defensive focus, projecting a controlled, lower-scoring affair under the total. Overall game outlook leans low-scoring given matchup pace and efficiencies.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Presbyterian — strongest mathematical probability from sim convergence and market data.

Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.

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