Providence vs Rhode Island

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-12-06 12:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-06 10:24 AM EST

Providence vs Rhode Island on 2025-12-06

💰 Best Bet #1 [Providence / Spread / -7.5 at -110 / 58% / Providence’s strong home record with 10 straight non-conference wins at home, combined with Rhode Island’s road struggles, supports covering the spread based on recent form and simulation edges.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 145.5 at -110 / 54% / Both teams show defensive efficiencies in the current season, with Providence allowing under 70 points in recent home games and Rhode Island’s low offensive tempo favoring a lower-scoring affair.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Providence / Moneyline / -320 / 65% / Home advantage and superior adjusted efficiency ratings give Providence a clear edge, aligning with line movement toward the favorite.]

Game Times

ET: 12:00 PM
CT: 11:00 AM
MT: 10:00 AM
PT: 9:00 AM
AKT: 8:00 AM
HST: 6:00 AM

💸 Public Bets

[72% Providence / 28% Rhode Island]

💰 Money Distribution

[68% Providence / 32% Rhode Island]

💹 Market Alignment

[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement

Line opened at -6.5 and moved to -7.5 with balanced action, indicating steady support for Providence despite public leaning.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)

[+3.2% on Providence spread / Line stability and simulation win probability exceed implied odds, creating value against Rhode Island’s weaker away metrics this season.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Providence | 65.2% |
| Win % for Rhode Island | 34.8% |
| Spread Cover % for Providence | 55.1% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48.0% / Under: 52.0% |
| Average Total Points | 144.2 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-4.2, 18.7] |

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment heavily favors Providence, aligning with money distribution and sharp indicators from line stability, making following the favorite optimal here. No significant reverse line movement suggests consensus value on the home team. Overall game scoring outlook points to a controlled pace, with defenses limiting explosive plays based on current season efficiencies.

🔮 Recommended Play

Follow the public with Providence — simulation and market data confirm the highest probability for the home win and cover.

Highlights unavailable.