Quinnipiac vs Marist

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-12-29 04:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-29 11:38 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Quinnipiac / Spread / -3.5 at -110 / 58% / Quinnipiac’s strong home form (5-1) and recent MAAC wins align with simulation edges, covering against Marist’s road challenges despite close records.
💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 145.5 at -110 / 54% / Both teams’ defensive efficiencies and slower tempos in conference play suggest a controlled game, with recent trends favoring unders in MAAC matchups.
💰 Best Bet #3 Quinnipiac / Moneyline / -160 / 62% / Home advantage and superior adjusted efficiency ratings give Quinnipiac a clear edge over Marist in this evenly matched but venue-favored contest.

Quinnipiac vs Marist on 2025-12-29

Game Times
ET: 4:00 PM
CT: 3:00 PM
MT: 2:00 PM
PT: 1:00 PM
AKT: 12:00 PM
HST: 10:00 AM

💸 Public Bets
Quinnipiac 65% / Marist 35%

💰 Money Distribution
Quinnipiac 55% / Marist 45%

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Stable at -3.5, with minimal shifts despite moderate public action on the favorite.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+3% on Quinnipiac spread, driven by home-field metrics and simulation convergence outweighing public lean.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Quinnipiac | 62% |
| Win % for Marist | 38% |
| Spread Cover % for Quinnipiac | 55% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Points | 142 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-10, 16] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment leans toward Quinnipiac, aligning with sharp money indicators and no significant reverse line movement, making a follow strategy optimal based on home dominance and defensive matchups. Both teams show solid MAAC starts, but Quinnipiac’s efficiency edges suggest moderate scoring. Overall, the game outlook points to a lower-total affair, with unders holding value from pace and rebounding trends.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Quinnipiac — home metrics and simulation probabilities confirm the favorite’s edge.

Highlights unavailable.