NCAAB

Radford vs Coppin State

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-12-14 02:30 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-14 10:00 AM EST

🏀 Top 3 Overall Best Bets

💰 Best Bet #1 [Radford / Spread / -18.5 at -110 / 58% / Radford’s strong home efficiency and Coppin State’s poor road defense (allowing 85+ PPG) support covering the large spread, aligned with recent form showing Radford winning by 20+ in similar matchups.]
💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 152.5 at -112 / 62% / Both teams rank low in pace and offensive efficiency (Radford 72nd in tempo, Coppin State bottom-100 in scoring), with defensive rebounding limiting second-chance points for a low-scoring affair.]
💰 Best Bet #3 [Radford / Moneyline / -1800 / 82% / Overwhelming home advantage and Coppin State’s 2-11 record make Radford the clear favorite, backed by simulation projecting an 82% win probability.]

🏀 Matchup: Radford vs Coppin State on 2025-12-14

Game Times

ET: 02:30 PM
CT: 01:30 PM
MT: 12:30 PM
PT: 11:30 AM
AKT: 10:30 AM
HST: 08:30 AM

💸 Public Bets

[85% / 15%]

💰 Money Distribution

[78% / 22%]

💹 Market Alignment

[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement

Line opened at -19 and ticked to -18.5 with balanced action, showing stability despite heavy public favoritism toward Radford.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)

[+3.2% on Radford spread / Implied probability undervalues Radford’s home dominance (82% sim win rate) against Coppin State’s weak offense, creating value despite public lean.]

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

Simulation Results

| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Radford | 82.0% |
| Win % for Coppin State | 18.0% |
| Spread Cover % for Radford | 55.0% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 40.0% / Under: 60.0% |
| Average Total Points | 145.2 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [5.1, 35.8] |

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment heavily favors Radford, aligning with sharp money and line stability, making a follow strategy optimal as metrics confirm the favorite’s edge without contrarian signals like RLM. Coppin State’s road struggles and low scoring (under 70 PPG away) pair with Radford’s solid home defense to suggest a controlled, lower-output game. Overall, the matchup projects as a comfortable win for the home side with limited upset risk.

🔮 Recommended Play

[Follow the public with Radford / High-confidence favorite backed by sim and market consensus for positive EV.]

Highlights unavailable.