NCAAB
Robert Morris vs 
Detroit
League: NCAAB | Game Time: 7:00 PM ET • 6:00 PM CT • 5:00 PM MT • 4:00 PM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-25 08:33 AM EST
💰 Best Bet #1 Robert Morris Colonials -8.5 at -110 / 58% / Public split even on spread but money 57% on dog with line firming to -8.5 signals sharp resistance to Detroit; recent RMU defensive hold (avg 59.7 allowed) supports cover
💰 Best Bet #2 Under 150.5 at -110 / 62% / Combined recent totals avg ~144.5 (RMU games 138, Detroit 151); both teams low pace/defensive edges converge with 58% public/62% money on under
💰 Best Bet #3 Robert Morris Colonials Moneyline -360 / 76% / Heavy public alignment (85% bets/90% money) matches model win prob from superior recent form (2 blowout wins) vs Detroit’s road struggles
Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Robert Morris Colonials | 76% |
| Win % for Detroit Mercy Titans | 24% |
| Spread Cover % for Robert Morris Colonials -8.5 | 55% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 42% / Under: 58% |
| Average Total Points | 145 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-12, 28] |
🏈 Matchup: Robert Morris Colonials vs Detroit Mercy Titans on February 26
💸 Public Bets
[48% / 52%]
💰 Money Distribution
[43% / 57%]
💹 Market Alignment
Divergent
📉 Line Movement
Line moved from -8 to -8.5 towards home favorite despite slight public lean to dog
💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+3.2% on RMU spread / +4.1% Under; implied probs undervalue RMU defense (59.7 PPG allowed recently) and low-scoring trends
Top 3 Player Props
Player Prop #1: Josh Corbin (Robert Morris) Over 16.5 Points at -110 / 72% / Corbin key scorer in recent wins (high usage vs weak Detroit def allowing 72 PPG); off eff supports projection 18+
Player Prop #2: Jayden Stone (Detroit Mercy) Under 20.5 Points at -110 / 70% / Stone avg lower on road (recent 62/83 pt games); RMU def holds foes under 60, matchup limits ISO
Player Prop #3: Makhi Corbin (Robert Morris) Over 7.5 Rebounds at -112 / 68% / Strong rebounding rate vs Detroit’s poor def reb %; home splits boost to 9+ avg in wins
⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public heavily on RMU ML (85%) with money aligned, but spread sees divergent action favoring dog—yet line firming to -8.5 and RMU’s defensive metrics (59.7 allowed) justify fading public spread lean for home cover value. Sharp money on Detroit resisted by line movement indicates pro action on favorite. Game projects low-scoring (avg total 145) due to RMU’s stingy D and early-season paces, favoring Under decisively.
🔮 Recommended Play
Fade the public on Detroit Mercy — RMU holds mathematical edge across sims and recent form.
Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.
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