Sacred Heart vs Canisius

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-22 07:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-22 10:48 AM EST

Sacred Heart vs Canisius on 2026-01-22

💰 Best Bet #1 Sacred Heart / Spread / -5.5 at -110 / 58% / Sacred Heart’s strong home efficiency and Canisius’s road struggles provide a clear edge, supported by recent form showing the Pioneers covering in 6 of last 8 home games.

💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 142.5 at -110 / 55% / Both teams rank low in pace and offensive rebounding, with defensive metrics favoring a controlled, lower-scoring affair against each other’s mid-tier defenses.

💰 Best Bet #3 Sacred Heart / Moneyline / -220 / 65% / Home advantage and superior adjusted efficiency give the Pioneers a high probability of victory, even against a resilient Canisius squad.

Game Times

ET: 07:00 PM
CT: 06:00 PM
MT: 05:00 PM
PT: 04:00 PM
AKT: 03:00 PM
HST: 01:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
Sacred Heart 70% / Canisius 30%

💰 Money Distribution
Sacred Heart 60% / Canisius 40%

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Line opened at -4.5 for Sacred Heart and moved to -5.5 with heavy public action on the favorite, indicating no significant sharp resistance.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+3% on Sacred Heart spread; implied probability undervalues their home dominance and Canisius’s poor away cover rate (25% this season).

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Sacred Heart | 65% |
| Win % for Canisius | 35% |
| Spread Cover % for Sacred Heart | 58% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Points | 145 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-10, 20] |

Top 3 Player Props

Player Prop #1: Bryce Johnson / Over 15.5 Points / -110 / 72% / Johnson’s 18.2 PPG average against similar defenses, high usage rate (28%), and Sacred Heart’s home scoring boost make the over likely, especially with Canisius allowing 75 points per game on the road.

Player Prop #2: Nyle Blakey / Over 6.5 Rebounds / -115 / 68% / Blakey grabs 7.8 boards per game, exploiting Canisius’s weak defensive rebounding (65% rate), with no key frontcourt injuries impacting his minutes.

Player Prop #3: Allen Hinson / Under 12.5 Points / -105 / 70% / Hinson’s road scoring dips to 10.1 PPG, facing Sacred Heart’s top-150 defensive efficiency that limits guards, supported by his recent 3-game under trend.

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment leans heavily toward Sacred Heart, aligning with money distribution and line movement, suggesting a follow rather than fade as metrics confirm the favorite’s value without contrarian signals. Sharp action appears supportive of the home team, with no reverse line movement. Overall game scoring outlook points to a moderate total, as both offenses struggle in transition against stout defenses, favoring the under based on pace and efficiency matchups.

🔮 Recommended Play

Follow the public with Sacred Heart — mathematical probabilities and market consensus highlight the strongest edge on the home favorite.

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