San Jose State vs Long Beach State

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-12-09 10:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-09 10:01 AM EST

San Jose State vs Long Beach State on 2025-12-09

💰 Best Bet #1 [San Jose State / Spread / -6.5 at -110 / 58% / San Jose State holds a strong home advantage in the simulation, covering in 58% of runs with superior efficiency metrics against a struggling Long Beach State road team.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 145.5 at -110 / 54% / Both teams show moderate offensive outputs in recent form, with the simulation projecting an average of 144.2 points, slightly favoring the over based on pace and defensive weaknesses.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [San Jose State / Moneyline / -280 / 68% / The Spartans win 68% of simulated games, supported by better adjusted efficiency ratings and home-court edge over a 2-8 Long Beach State squad.]

Game Times
ET: 10:00 PM
CT: 9:00 PM
MT: 8:00 PM
PT: 7:00 PM
AKT: 6:00 PM
HST: 4:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
[San Jose State 65% / Long Beach State 35%]

💰 Money Distribution
[San Jose State 70% / Long Beach State 30%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
[Opened at -6 and held steady at -6.5 with balanced action, no significant sharp movement noted.]

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3% on San Jose State spread, driven by simulation cover rate exceeding implied odds probability and home-field factors in current season data.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for San Jose State | 68% |
| Win % for Long Beach State | 32% |
| Spread Cover % for San Jose State | 58% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 54% / Under: 46% |
| Average Total Points | 144.2 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-12, +2] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment aligns with sharp money on the San Jose State side, making it optimal to follow rather than fade, as the simulation and efficiency metrics confirm value without contrarian signals. The game outlook leans toward moderate scoring, with San Jose State’s offense exploiting Long Beach State’s poor road defense, though totals remain close. No major injuries alter the landscape based on available data.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with San Jose State] — simulation and market consensus point to the highest probability of a Spartans victory.

Highlights unavailable.