San Jose State vs UC Irvine

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-11-30 05:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-11-30 11:13 AM EST

🧠 Top 3 Overall Best Bets

💰 Best Bet #1 UC Irvine -1.5 at -110 58% Sim cover probability at 56% aligns with UCI’s edge in adjusted efficiency and recent form over SJSU’s struggles.

💰 Best Bet #2 Over 135.5 at -110 58% Both teams average high tempo, sim avg total 139 exceeds line with offensive rebounding trends favoring pushover.

💰 Best Bet #3 UC Irvine ML -115 58% UCI’s 58% win probability from Monte Carlo, supported by home advantage and superior win shares.

San Jose State vs UC Irvine on 2025-11-30

Game Times

ET: 5:00 PM
CT: 4:00 PM
MT: 3:00 PM
PT: 2:00 PM
AKT: 1:00 PM
HST: 11:00 AM

💸 Public Bets

UC Irvine 62% / San Jose State 38%

💰 Money Distribution

UC Irvine 58% / San Jose State 42%

💹 Market Alignment

Aligned

📉 Line Movement

Line opened at UC Irvine -1.5 and remains steady despite moderate public action on favorite, per latest odds from BettingNews and Bleacher Nation.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)

+4% EV on UC Irvine spread; sim probabilities exceed implied odds, with no RLM but contextual home edge confirming value.

Simulation Results

| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for San Jose State | 42% |
| Win % for UC Irvine | 58% |
| Spread Cover % for UC Irvine (-1.5) | 56% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 58% / Under: 42% |
| Average Total Points | 139 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-5, +4] |

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment leans UC Irvine aligning with money distribution and simulation metrics, making follow optimal rather than fade. Both offenses show solid efficiency ratings around 105-110 AdjO, projecting a higher-scoring affair above the total line. No major injuries reported in current season updates.

🔮 Recommended Play

Follow the public with UC Irvine — strongest mathematical probability backed by win sim, cover rates, and market consensus.

Highlights unavailable.