Santa Clara vs Arizona State

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-12-13 07:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-13 11:28 AM EST

Santa Clara vs Arizona State on 2025-12-13

💰 Best Bet #1 [Santa Clara / Spread / -2.5 at -110 / 55% / Santa Clara shows edge in recent form and efficiency metrics, with simulation supporting a narrow cover against a rebuilding Arizona State squad.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 150.5 at -110 / 52% / Both teams exhibit moderate pace and solid defensive rebounding in current season games, trending toward lower totals in neutral-site matchups.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Santa Clara / Moneyline / -130 / 55% / Home-like advantage in Henderson for Santa Clara, combined with Arizona State’s integration of new transfers, favors the Broncos outright.]

Game Times
ET: 7:00 PM
CT: 6:00 PM
MT: 5:00 PM
PT: 4:00 PM
AKT: 3:00 PM
HST: 1:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
[Santa Clara 62% / Arizona State 38%]

💰 Money Distribution
[Santa Clara 58% / Arizona State 42%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
[Opened at Santa Clara -2, steady at -2.5 with minimal movement despite moderate public action on the favorite, indicating sharp stability.]

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3.2% on Santa Clara spread; implied probability undervalues simulation win/cover rates, supported by current season adjusted efficiencies and Arizona State’s early defensive lapses.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Santa Clara | 55.0% |
| Win % for Arizona State | 44.0% |
| Spread Cover % for Santa Clara | 52.0% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48.0% / Under: 52.0% |
| Average Total Points | 150.2 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-15.2, 17.8] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment leans toward Santa Clara, aligning with money distribution and sharp indicators, making a follow strategy optimal rather than fading without clear RLM or contrarian edges. Arizona State’s recent six-of-seven wins are tempered by only one returning player, while Santa Clara’s form suggests control. Overall scoring outlook points to a controlled game under the total, given both teams’ mid-tier offensive efficiencies and rebounding strengths in the 2025 season.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Santa Clara] — simulation and market consensus highlight the strongest probability for a Broncos victory and cover.

Highlights unavailable.