Seattle Kraken vs Edmonton Oilers

League: NHL | Date: 2025-11-29 04:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-11-29 12:08 PM EST

🧠 Top 3 Overall Best Bets

💰 Best Bet #1 Seattle Kraken / +1.5 / -171 / 70% / Simulation shows 70% cover rate with Kraken’s stronger recent form (7-6 record) and Oilers’ defensive woes (77 GF allowed in 15 games); public heavy on Oilers but line stable.

💰 Best Bet #2 Over / Total / 6.5 at -110 / 52% / Data projects average 5.9 goals but NHL flip logic favors Over given Oilers’ high-event style despite poor GA; recent trends support flipped edge.

💰 Best Bet #3 Seattle Kraken / Moneyline / +134 / 52% / True win probability 52% exceeds implied 42.7% at current odds, backed by home advantage and Oilers’ 5-10 slump.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Seattle Kraken | 52% |
| Win % for Edmonton Oilers | 38% |
| Tie % | 10% |
| Spread Cover % for Seattle Kraken +1.5 | 70% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Goals | 5.9 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-2.1, +3.2] |

🏒 Seattle Kraken vs Edmonton Oilers on 2025-11-29

Game Times
ET: 4:00 PM
CT: 3:00 PM
MT: 2:00 PM
PT: 1:00 PM
AKT: 12:00 PM
HST: 10:00 AM

💸 Public Bets
Oilers 65% / Kraken 35%

💰 Money Distribution
Oilers 55% / Kraken 45%

💹 Market Alignment
Divergent

📉 Line Movement
Oilers ML opened -150, steady at -159 despite public bets; puckline Oilers -1.5 held firm, total 6.5 unchanged.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+4.2% on Kraken ML and +1.5; sim probabilities exceed implied odds, with RLM absent but Oilers’ poor GA (6.3/game) vs Kraken home defense creating value.

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public leans Oilers due to McDavid hype, but divergent money and sim metrics favor Kraken at home against Edmonton’s 5-10 record and leaky defense. Fade public optimal as EV aligns with contrarian play; game projects moderate scoring around 5.9 goals with flipped Over edge. Oilers’ high GA supports Kraken cover likelihood.

🔮 Recommended Play
Fade the public on Kraken — sim win/cover edges provide strongest probability.

Highlights unavailable.