Seattle Seahawks vs Minnesota Vikings

League: NFL | Date: 2025-11-30 04:05 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-11-30 09:54 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Seattle Seahawks / Spread / -8.5 at -110 / 65% / Seahawks dominate sims with 61% cover rate even at -10.5; Vikings struggling offensively in recent losses, line movement favors home team
💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 43.5 at -110 / 62% / Simulation averages 43.2 points with 58% under probability; both defenses solid in current season trends, low-scoring recent games
💰 Best Bet #3 Seattle Seahawks / Moneyline / -350 / 76% / 76% win probability in 10k sims, strong home-field edge vs slumping Vikings

🏈 Seattle Seahawks vs Minnesota Vikings on 2025-11-30

Game Times
ET: 4:05 PM
CT: 3:05 PM
MT: 2:05 PM
PT: 1:05 PM
AKT: 12:05 PM
HST: 10:05 AM

💸 Public Bets
Seahawks 78% / Vikings 22%

💰 Money Distribution
Seahawks 72% / Vikings 28%

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Opened at Seahawks -7.5, moved to -8.5/-10.5 amid heavy action on favorite despite public lean; total steady at 43.5

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+4.2% on Seahawks spread / Strong convergence of sim probs, RLM supporting home side, Vikings poor road form

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Seattle Seahawks | 76% |
| Win % for Minnesota Vikings | 24% |
| Spread Cover % for Seattle Seahawks (-10.5) | 61% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 42% / Under: 58% |
| Average Total Points | 43.2 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-18, -2] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player Prop #1: Justin Jefferson / Over 69.5 Receiving Yards / -115 / 72% / Leads Vikings in targets/usage; Seahawks allow top-10 WR yards recently, high hit rate in 2025
Player Prop #2: Jaxon Smith-Njigba / Over 59.5 Receiving Yards / -110 / 68% / Primary Seahawks target with Darnold; Vikings secondary vulnerable to slot WRs per current season splits
Player Prop #3: Aaron Jones / Under 52.5 Rushing Yards / -105 / 65% / Seahawks #4 in RB rush defense; Vikings backfield inefficient lately, low projected volume

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public heavily on Seahawks aligns with sharp money and line steam toward the favorite, making follow optimal over fade. Simulations confirm edge with dominant win/cover rates. Game projects low-scoring due to defensive efficiencies and Vikings offensive woes.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Seahawks — highest mathematical probability backed by sims and market consensus.

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