NCAAB
Seattle vs 
Portland
League: NCAAB | Game Time: 10:00 PM ET • 9:00 PM CT • 8:00 PM MT • 7:00 PM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-21 11:52 AM EST
💰 Best Bet #1 Seattle Redhawks / -7.5 / -110 / 58% / Model projects 55% cover rate exceeding implied probability; public/money split divergence favors contrarian home side with strong efficiency edge.
💰 Best Bet #2 Under / 138.5 / -110 / 55% / Both teams exhibit defensive metrics supporting low total, aligned with money on under (60%) and recent low-scoring trends.
💰 Best Bet #3 Seattle Redhawks / -385 / 78% / Dominant 75% simulated win probability, home advantage, and ML public/sharp consensus confirm edge.
Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Seattle Redhawks | 75% |
| Win % for Portland Pilots | 25% |
| Spread Cover % for Seattle Redhawks | 55% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Points | 140 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-13, 30] |
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🏈 Matchup: Seattle Redhawks vs Portland Pilots on 2026-02-22
💸 Public Bets
[46% / 54%]
💰 Money Distribution
[41% / 59%]
💹 Market Alignment
Divergent
📉 Line Movement
Opened Seattle -6.5 (Portland +6.5); moved to -7.5 amid 54% public bets/59% money on dog.
💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+4% on Seattle spread (model 55% cover vs. 52.4% implied); under holds +2.5% EV from defensive matchup.
Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.
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⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public bets (54%) and money (59%) lean Portland +7.5, but divergent from heavy ML consensus on Seattle (82%/87%), signaling potential sharp resistance on spread dog action. Model simulation and efficiency metrics favor fading public on Seattle cover, with low-scoring outlook from combined defensive strengths projecting under 138.5. No key injuries alter projections; home-court bolsters Redhawks.
🔮 Recommended Play
Fade the public on Portland — Seattle -7.5 offers highest EV.
Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.
Highlights unavailable.