NCAAB
Siena vs 
St. Peters
League: NCAAB | Game Time: 2:00 PM ET • 1:00 PM CT • 12:00 PM MT • 11:00 AM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-22 07:30 AM EST
💰 Best Bet #1 Siena Saints / -5.5 / -115 / 52% / Simulation cover probability near 50%, public (54%) and money (59%) aligned on home favorite with home-court edge
💰 Best Bet #2 Under / 136.5 / -115 / 51% / Money leans under (57%), low total fits MAAC defensive trends and recent low-scoring expectations
💰 Best Bet #3 Siena Saints / Moneyline / -240 / 63% / Simulation win probability 63.1% aligns with heavy public (76%) and money (81%) consensus
Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Siena Saints | 63.1% |
| Win % for Saint Peter’s Peacocks | 36.9% |
| Spread Cover % for Siena Saints | 49.8% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 50.1% / Under: 49.9% |
| Average Total Points | 137.5 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-26.6, 37.1] |
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🏀 Matchup: Siena Saints vs Saint Peter’s Peacocks on 2026-02-22
💸 Public Bets
[Siena 54% / Saint Peter’s 46%]
💰 Money Distribution
[Siena 59% / Saint Peter’s 41%]
💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]
📉 Line Movement
[Limited data; lines stable around -5.5 / 136.5-137.5]
💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+2% on Siena spread; public/money convergence with simulation near-breakeven supports slight value despite vig]
Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.
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⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment heavily favors Siena on the moneyline (76% bets, 81% money) with spread alignment (54% bets, 59% money), indicating market consensus on the home favorite without sharp resistance. Math and simulation confirm Siena’s edge (63% win probability) while totals remain neutral, pointing to a low-scoring affair under 137.5 based on money lean and MAAC paces. Follow the public here as no RLM or contrarian signals emerge, with home offense/defense metrics supporting cover potential.
🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Siena Saints — highest mathematical probability backed by aligned indicators and simulation.
Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.
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