South Carolina Gamecocks vs Presbyterian Blue Hose

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-11-12 07:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-11-12 06:20 PM EST

South Carolina Gamecocks vs Presbyterian Blue Hose on 2025-11-12

💰 Best Bet #1 [South Carolina Gamecocks / Spread / -15.5 at -115 / 55% / South Carolina’s strong home form and recent 83-79 win over Southern Miss highlight defensive efficiency, while Presbyterian’s narrow 63-61 road upset shows vulnerability against superior talent, supporting a cover in 55% of simulations.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 137.5 at -105 / 52% / Both teams’ recent games exceeded this line (162 total for SC, 124 for Pres but with higher pace potential), and simulation average of 147 points indicates a slight lean over based on offensive rebounding and transition opportunities.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [South Carolina Gamecocks / Moneyline / -2100 / 85% / Dominant home advantage and 85% simulated win probability outweigh Presbyterian’s underdog status, with no major injuries impacting key Gamecocks players.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for South Carolina Gamecocks | 85% |
| Win % for Presbyterian Blue Hose | 10% |
| Spread Cover % for South Carolina Gamecocks | 55% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 52% / Under: 48% |
| Average Total Points | 147 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-5, 39] |

Game Times
ET: 7:00 PM
CT: 6:00 PM
MT: 5:00 PM
PT: 4:00 PM
AKT: 3:00 PM
HST: 1:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
[92% South Carolina / 8% Presbyterian]

💰 Money Distribution
[88% South Carolina / 12% Presbyterian]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
Stable at -15.5 across major books like DraftKings and BetMGM, with minimal shift from opening lines despite heavy public action on the favorite.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3.2% on South Carolina spread] — Implied probability of -15.5 odds (53.5%) undervalues the 55% cover rate from simulations and recent form, creating positive EV when adjusted for home efficiency ratings.

Top 3 Player Props

Player Prop #1: Meechie Johnson / Over Points / 17.5 at -105 / 65% / Johnson’s 18.2 PPG average in early 2025 season games, including 22 vs. Southern Miss, pairs with Presbyterian’s weak perimeter defense (allowing 38% from three), favoring over in a high-usage role.

Player Prop #2: Meechie Johnson / Over Assists / 3.5 at +135 / 60% / As primary ball-handler with 4.1 APG recently, matchup against Presbyterian’s turnover-prone guards (15% TO rate) boosts assist opportunities, supported by South Carolina’s efficient half-court offense.

Player Prop #3: Meechie Johnson / Over Threes / 2.5 at +135 / 58% / Shooting 42% from deep this season, Johnson’s volume (6.8 attempts per game) exploits Presbyterian’s defensive rebounding weakness, leading to more open looks in transition.

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment heavily favors South Carolina, aligning with sharp money indicators and simulation outcomes, making following the favorite optimal rather than fading. No significant reverse line movement suggests consensus value on the home team without overreaction. The game projects as moderately high-scoring, with South Carolina’s adjusted offensive efficiency (108.5) outpacing Presbyterian’s defense (95.2 allowed), tilting toward the over.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with South Carolina Gamecocks — Mathematical probability strongly supports the favorite’s dominance in this mismatch.

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