South Carolina vs Oklahoma

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-20 07:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-20 11:19 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [Oklahoma / Spread / +5.5 at -110 / 55% / Public heavily favors South Carolina at 75%, but money is 36% on Oklahoma indicating sharp action; simulation shows close cover probability with home team’s recent form inflated by hype.]
💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 155.5 at -110 / 52% / Both teams rank mid-tier in defensive efficiency this season, with South Carolina allowing 72.4 PPG at home; average simulated total of 154.8 supports a lower-scoring affair amid travel fatigue for Oklahoma.]
💰 Best Bet #3 [South Carolina / Moneyline / -240 at -110 / 58% / Home advantage at Colonial Life Arena boosts win probability to 58% per simulation, aligning with current season metrics despite public overreaction.]

South Carolina vs Oklahoma on 2026-01-20

Game Times

ET: 07:00 PM
CT: 06:00 PM
MT: 05:00 PM
PT: 04:00 PM
AKT: 03:00 PM
HST: 01:00 PM

💸 Public Bets

[South Carolina 75% / Oklahoma 25%]

💰 Money Distribution

[South Carolina 64% / Oklahoma 36%]

💹 Market Alignment

[Divergent]

📉 Line Movement

[Line opened at South Carolina -5.5 and held steady, moving against 75% public bets on the favorite despite moderate volume.]

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)

[+3.2% on Oklahoma +5.5; reverse line movement signals professional money on the underdog, combined with simulation’s tight margin distribution and Oklahoma’s disciplined perimeter defense yielding positive EV against South Carolina’s mid-range reliance.]

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

Simulation Results

| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for South Carolina | 58.42% |
| Win % for Oklahoma | 41.58% |
| Spread Cover % for South Carolina (-4.5) | 48.70% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 49.80% / Under: 50.20% |
| Average Total Points | 154.80 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-13.20, 20.50] |

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment leans heavily toward South Carolina, but divergent money distribution with 36% on Oklahoma suggests sharp resistance, creating value in fading the favorite. Mathematical models and simulation align with a competitive game where Oklahoma’s defensive metrics limit South Carolina’s efficiency. Overall scoring outlook points to a controlled pace, with both offenses struggling against stout rebounding defenses this season.

🔮 Recommended Play

[Fade the public on Oklahoma] — simulation and market signals indicate the highest probability of success on the underdog side.

Highlights unavailable.