South Carolina vs Vanderbilt

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-03 02:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-03 11:55 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [Vanderbilt / Spread / -11.5 at -110 / 58% / Vanderbilt’s strong recent form and South Carolina’s key injury create a clear edge, with line movement not fully eroding the value despite public action.]
💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 140.5 at -110 / 54% / Both teams show defensive tendencies in recent games, with average outputs aligning below the line after adjusting for injuries and pace.]
💰 Best Bet #3 [Vanderbilt / Moneyline / -650 / 75% / Dominant win streak and superior efficiency metrics support the favorite, offering solid value against the underdog’s home advantage.]

South Carolina vs Vanderbilt on 2026-01-03

Game Times

ET: 2:00 PM
CT: 1:00 PM
MT: 12:00 PM
PT: 11:00 AM
AKT: 10:00 AM
HST: 8:00 AM

💸 Public Bets

[65% Vanderbilt / 35% South Carolina]

💰 Money Distribution

[55% Vanderbilt / 45% South Carolina]

💹 Market Alignment

Divergent

📉 Line Movement

Line opened at Vanderbilt -18.5 but has tightened to -11.5, indicating sharp money on South Carolina despite heavy public backing of the favorite.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)

+3.2% on Vanderbilt spread, driven by simulation probabilities and recent performance metrics outweighing the line shift.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for South Carolina | 23% |
| Win % for Vanderbilt | 75% |
| Spread Cover % for South Carolina (+11.5) | 45% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Points | 140 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-5, 25] |

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment heavily favors Vanderbilt, but divergent money percentages and reverse line movement suggest sharp action on South Carolina; however, mathematical edges from efficiency ratings and Vanderbilt’s streak align more with following the favorite where EV remains positive. The game outlook points to a moderate-scoring affair, with defenses limiting possessions amid South Carolina’s frontcourt injury. Overall, contrarian logic is tempting but not justified without stronger contextual support.

🔮 Recommended Play

Follow the public with Vanderbilt — simulation and metrics confirm the highest probability of success.

Highlights unavailable.