Southeast Missouri State vs Eastern Illinois

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-01 08:30 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-01 11:05 AM EST

🧠 Top 3 Overall Best Bets

💰 Best Bet #1 [Southeast Missouri State / Spread / -6.5 at -110 / 58% / Southeast Missouri State shows strong home efficiency and recent form advantages, with simulation covering the spread over half the time against a weaker Eastern Illinois defense.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 140.5 at -110 / 54% / Both teams exhibit moderate tempos and defensive lapses in current season matchups, pushing averages toward the higher end per offensive ratings and recent trends.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Southeast Missouri State / Moneyline / -280 / 65% / Dominant win probability from metrics like adjusted efficiency and home advantage outweighs the juice, aligning with sharp consensus.]

Southeast Missouri State vs Eastern Illinois on 2026-01-01

Game Times

ET: 08:30 PM
CT: 07:30 PM
MT: 06:30 PM
PT: 05:30 PM
AKT: 04:30 PM
HST: 02:30 PM

💸 Public Bets

[Southeast Missouri State 72% / Eastern Illinois 28%]

💰 Money Distribution

[Southeast Missouri State 68% / Eastern Illinois 32%]

💹 Market Alignment

[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement

[Line opened at -6.5 for Southeast Missouri State and held steady into game time, with minimal movement despite public lean toward the favorite.]

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)

[+2.5% on Southeast Missouri State spread; simulation probabilities exceed implied odds, supported by current season efficiency differentials and no major injury disruptions.]

Simulation Results

| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Southeast Missouri State | 65.2% |
| Win % for Eastern Illinois | 34.8% |
| Spread Cover % for Southeast Missouri State | 55.3% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 52.1% / Under: 47.9% |
| Average Total Points | 140.8 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-12.5, 18.2] |

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment heavily favors Southeast Missouri State, aligning with money distribution and sharp action indicators from current season data, making a follow strategy optimal without contrarian value. Eastern Illinois struggles with turnover rates and away efficiency, tilting the matchup toward the home side. Overall scoring outlook points to a moderate-paced game with potential for the over, given both teams’ defensive rebounding weaknesses allowing 70+ points recently.

🔮 Recommended Play

[Follow the public with Southeast Missouri State] — simulation and market consensus confirm the highest probability of success on the favorite.

Highlights unavailable.