NCAAB
St. Bonaventure vs 
Rhode Island
League: NCAAB | Game Time: 5:00 PM ET • 4:00 PM CT • 3:00 PM MT • 2:00 PM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-26 07:44 AM EST
💰 Best Bet #1 St. Bonaventure Bonnies / Spread / -2.5 at -115 / 55% / Model projects 53% cover probability aligning with money concentration (57%) on home favorite and Bonnies’ strong home scoring (78 PPG recent).
💰 Best Bet #2 Over / Total / 144.5 at -110 / 52% / Combined recent averages project 147 total points; offensive paces support push past line despite slight public under lean.
💰 Best Bet #3 St. Bonaventure Bonnies / Moneyline / -150 / 58% / Home advantage plus recent win streak gives edge over Rams’ road variance.
Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 58.2% |
| Win % for Rhode Island Rams | 41.8% |
| Spread Cover % for St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 53.1% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 51.2% / Under: 48.8% |
| Average Total Points | 148.0 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-19.8, 24.7] |
🏀 Matchup: St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs Rhode Island Rams on 2026-02-26
💸 Public Bets
[52% / 48%]
💰 Money Distribution
[57% / 43%]
💹 Market Alignment
Aligned
📉 Line Movement
Stable at -2.5 across books; total steady at 144.5-145
💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+2.5% on St. Bonaventure -2.5 (model 55% vs implied 53.5%); positive value from home efficiency convergence
Top 3 Player Props
Player Prop #1: Charles Pride (St. Bonaventure) / Over 12.5 Points / -110 / 72% / Averages 14+ PPG in recent home wins with high usage vs Rams’ average defense allowing 65 PPG.
Player Prop #2: Daryl Banks (St. Bonaventure) / Over 4.5 Assists / -112 / 70% / Leads team in playmaking (5+ APG last 3), matchup favors ball-handling edge.
Player Prop #3: David Cox (Rhode Island) / Over 18.5 Points / -110 / 68% / Rams’ leading scorer at 20 PPG recent, Bonnies allow efficient guard scoring in home games.
⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment (52% bets) aligns with sharp money (57%) on St. Bonaventure, supporting follow over fade; no RLM divergence or heavy public skew (>65%) justifies contrarian play. Bonnies’ home defense (69 PPG allowed) tempers Rams’ offense, projecting moderate scoring around 148 total. Overall edge favors home side with positive EV on spread.
🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with St. Bonaventure —
Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.
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