St. Louis Blues vs
Anaheim Ducks
League: NHL | Date: 2025-12-01 08:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-01 10:44 AM EST
💰 Best Bet #1 [Anaheim Ducks / +1.5 / +125 / 64% / Simulation shows 63.5% cover rate for Ducks; public 62% on Blues but money nearly even signals sharp action on road dog cover]
💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / 6 / -110 / 51% / Data leans slight Under at 50.9% but NHL historical performance requires flip to Over; average simulated total 5.98 with regression potential in matchup]
💰 Best Bet #3 [St. Louis Blues / Moneyline / -140 / 55% / 54.8% win probability aligns with home edge despite Ducks value on spread]
Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for St. Louis Blues | 54.8% |
| Win % for Anaheim Ducks | 39.2% |
| Tie % | 6.0% |
| Spread Cover % for St. Louis Blues -1.5 | 36.5% |
| Spread Cover % for Anaheim Ducks +1.5 | 63.5% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over 6: 49.1% / Under 6: 50.9% |
| Average Total Goals | 5.98 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-2.1, +3.4] |
St. Louis Blues vs Anaheim Ducks on 2025-12-01
Game Times
ET: 8:00 PM
CT: 7:00 PM
MT: 6:00 PM
PT: 5:00 PM
AKT: 4:00 PM
HST: 2:00 PM
💸 Public Bets
Blues 62% / Ducks 38%
💰 Money Distribution
Blues 52% / Ducks 48%
💹 Market Alignment
Divergent
📉 Line Movement
Puck line steady at Blues -1.5 (-150 to -145); total 6 even throughout heavy wagering
💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
Ducks +1.5 (+3.2% EV); public heavy on Blues ML but money split signals value on Ducks cover and total flip
Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure
⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment heavily favors the Blues at 62% but money distribution is nearly split at 52/48, creating divergence that points to value on the Ducks side amid steady lines. Sharp action appears to resist the public on the puck line, supported by simulation cover rates and a tight total outlook where flipped Over logic holds edge. Overall game scoring projects near the 6-goal line with Blues home defense limiting Ducks but recent form trends suggest moderate offense from both.
🔮 Recommended Play
Fade the public on Ducks +1.5 — highest EV from market divergence, sim probabilities, and money split.
Highlights unavailable.

NHL