Stony Brook vs Brown

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-11-20 06:30 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-11-20 06:21 PM EST

Stony Brook vs Brown on 2025-11-20

💰 Best Bet #1 [Stony Brook / Spread / -5.5 at -110 / 55% / Stony Brook’s strong home form (3-1 early season) and Brown’s struggles (1-4) support covering the spread, with simulation showing 55% cover rate amid favorable matchup dynamics.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 136.5 at -110 / 52% / Both teams exhibit moderate offensive efficiency in early 2025 games, with Stony Brook allowing 79 points recently and Brown scoring low; average simulated total of 134.5 points favors the under slightly.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Stony Brook / Moneyline / -220 / 68% / As home favorites, Stony Brook’s superior early-season record and defensive edge give them a clear path to victory per simulations.]

Game Times
ET: 6:30 PM
CT: 5:30 PM
MT: 4:30 PM
PT: 3:30 PM
AKT: 2:30 PM
HST: 12:30 PM

💸 Public Bets
[65% Stony Brook / 35% Brown]

💰 Money Distribution
[70% Stony Brook / 30% Brown]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
Line opened at Stony Brook -6 and moved to -5.5 with balanced action, indicating stability despite public lean toward the home team.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3.2% on Stony Brook spread] — Simulations and early-season metrics show value in the home favorite, with positive EV from line consensus and form disparity.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Stony Brook | 68.0% |
| Win % for Brown | 32.0% |
| Spread Cover % for Stony Brook | 55.0% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48.0% / Under: 52.0% |
| Average Total Points | 134.5 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-12.0, 20.0] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment aligns with sharp money on Stony Brook, supported by their 3-1 start and home advantage, making following the favorite optimal without need for a fade. Brown’s 1-4 record and recent loss highlight vulnerabilities. Overall game scoring outlook points to a controlled pace, with defenses limiting output to under the total based on early efficiencies.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Stony Brook] — Mathematical probability favors the home team at 68% win rate.

Highlights unavailable.