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NCAABNCAAB

Game Completed

Stony Brook LogoStony Brook vs Hampton LogoHampton

League: NCAAB | Game Time: 4:00 PM ET • 3:00 PM CT • 2:00 PM MT • 1:00 PM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-21 09:38 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Stony Brook / -5.5 / -110 / 58% / Public even on spread but money 55% on home favorite with stable line indicating sharp support.

💰 Best Bet #2 Under / 135.5 / -105 / 55% / Public leaning under (54% bets, 58% money), low total aligns with defensive matchup expectations.

💰 Best Bet #3 Stony Brook / Moneyline / -235 / 68% / Heavy public (75%) and money (80%) alignment on home favorite.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Stony Brook | 68% |
| Win % for Hampton | 32% |
| Spread Cover % for Stony Brook | 55% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Points | 135.5 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-15, 26] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

🏀 Matchup: Stony Brook Seawolves vs Hampton Pirates on 2026-02-21

💸 Public Bets
[50 / 50] (spread)

💰 Money Distribution
[55 / 45] (spread)

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Stable per available data

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+2.5% on Stony Brook -5.5; implied probs align with sim (55% cover vs -110 vig)

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment even on spread but money favors Stony Brook, aligning with sharp action and model sim showing 55% cover probability. Follow the home favorite as contextual factors like home advantage support without contrarian signals. Game projects low-scoring under 135.5 based on total line and public lean.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Stony Brook — highest mathematical probability per sim and market consensus.

Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.

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