NCAAB

TCU vs West Virginia

League: NCAAB | Game Time: 5:00 PM ET • 4:00 PM CT • 3:00 PM MT • 2:00 PM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-21 10:33 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 TCU / Spread / -5.5 at -110 / 58% / TCU home advantage, public/sharp alignment (53% bets/58% money), sim cover 55% vs implied 52%.

💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 131.5 at -110 / 55% / Public/money on under (57%/61%), low total line fits defensive matchup trends, avg sim total 130.

💰 Best Bet #3 TCU / Moneyline / -260 / 72% / Strong favorite per lines/sim win prob 72%, aligned action supports.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for TCU Horned Frogs | 72% |
| Win % for West Virginia Mountaineers | 28% |
| Spread Cover % for TCU Horned Frogs | 55% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Points | 130 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-15, 25] |

🏈 Matchup: TCU Horned Frogs vs West Virginia Mountaineers on 2026-02-21

💸 Public Bets
[53% / 47%]

💰 Money Distribution
[58% / 42%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
Stable at TCU -5.5 across books (FanDuel/Fanatics -5.5, Bovada -5); ML tightened to -260.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3% on TCU -5.5; model prob exceeds implied by 2.6%; under +2% EV per public lean/sim avg.]

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment aligns with money on TCU spread/ML (53%/58%), indicating consensus without sharp resistance or RLM. Follow optimal as metrics/sim support TCU cover/home win. Game projects low-scoring (avg 130 pts) due total line/public under lean/defensive efficiencies.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with TCU — highest probability per alignment, sim, and home edge.

Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.

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