Temple vs Tulane

League: NCAAF | Date: 2025-11-22 03:45 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-11-22 02:13 PM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [Tulane / Spread / -9.5 at -110 / 55% / Tulane’s superior offensive efficiency and Temple’s defensive struggles in recent games support covering the spread, with line movement favoring the Green Wave amid sharp action.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 54.5 at -110 / 52% / Both teams’ recent games show below-average scoring trends, with Temple’s low-tempo offense and Tulane facing a stout run defense, projecting a controlled, lower-output contest.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Tulane / Moneyline / -400 / 74% / Tulane’s strong win probability from advanced metrics like SP+ ratings and home-field adjustments outweigh Temple’s inconsistencies.]

Temple vs Tulane on 2025-11-22

Game Times

ET: 3:45 PM
CT: 2:45 PM
MT: 1:45 PM
PT: 12:45 PM
AKT: 11:45 AM
HST: 9:45 AM

💸 Public Bets
[Tulane 72% / Temple 28%]

💰 Money Distribution
[Tulane 68% / Temple 32%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
Line opened at Tulane -8 and moved to -9.5 despite heavy public backing on the favorite, indicating some sharp resistance on Temple.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3.2% on Tulane spread] — Implied probability from odds undervalues Tulane’s 74% win chance per simulations, creating value against Temple’s poor success rate.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Temple | 25.0% |
| Win % for Tulane | 74.0% |
| Spread Cover % for Temple | 45.0% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Points | 51.2 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-25.0, 35.0] |

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment heavily favors Tulane, aligning with money distribution and line movement toward the favorite, suggesting no strong fade opportunity as metrics confirm the Green Wave’s edge in explosive plays and turnover margin. Temple’s defensive havoc rate remains low this season, but Tulane’s balanced attack limits upset potential. Overall game scoring outlook points to a moderate total, with both offenses averaging under 28 points per game recently against similar defenses.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Tulane] — Mathematical probability strongly supports the favorite based on current season form and simulation outcomes.

Highlights unavailable.