Tennessee State vs Lindenwood

League: NCAAB | Game Time: 8:30 PM ET • 7:30 PM CT • 6:30 PM MT • 5:30 PM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-19 10:02 PM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Tennessee St Tigers / -3.5 at -115 / 55% / Even public bets on spread but money 55% on home team signals sharp action aligning with home-field advantage in low-major matchup.

💰 Best Bet #2 Under / 168.5 at -110 / 52% / Balanced public bets but slight money on over creates value on under given typical defensive efficiencies in OVC play and high total line.

💰 Best Bet #3 Tennessee St Tigers / Moneyline at -220 / 70% / Strong public (67%) and money (72%) consensus on home favorite with implied probability matching model estimate.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Tennessee St Tigers | 60.1% |
| Win % for Lindenwood Lions | 39.9% |
| Spread Cover % for Tennessee St Tigers | 50.0% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 49.6% / Under: 50.4% |
| Average Total Points | 168.5 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-24.3, 31.3] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

Tennessee St Tigers vs Lindenwood Lions

💸 Public Bets
[50% / 50%]

💰 Money Distribution
[55% / 45%]

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
No significant movement observed

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+2% on Tennessee St spread; model converges with slight money steam despite even bets, supported by home edge.

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment on moneyline heavily favors Tennessee St aligning with money percentage, indicating consensus without clear sharp resistance. Spread bets are split evenly but money tilts home, justifying a follow on the favorite rather than a fade. Overall game scoring outlook leans slightly under the high total line due to lack of explosive offensive metrics in recent form data.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Tennessee St Tigers — highest mathematical probability backed by market convergence and simulation edges.

Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.

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