Tennessee State vs Southeast Missouri State

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-12-20 04:30 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-20 10:43 AM EST

Tennessee State vs Southeast Missouri State on 2025-12-20

💰 Best Bet #1 Tennessee State / Spread / -4.5 at -110 / 60% / Tennessee State shows strong home form with a 68% win probability, covering the spread in 60% of simulations against a weaker Southeast Missouri State offense, supported by recent efficiency metrics.

💰 Best Bet #2 Over / Total / 142.5 at -110 / 52% / Both teams’ pace and defensive rebounding allow for moderate scoring, with simulations projecting an average of 142 points and a slight edge to the over based on current season offensive ratings.

💰 Best Bet #3 Tennessee State / Moneyline / -250 / 68% / Simulations favor Tennessee State decisively at home, leveraging superior adjusted efficiency and matchup advantages over Southeast Missouri State’s road struggles.

Game Times
ET: 04:30 PM
CT: 03:30 PM
MT: 02:30 PM
PT: 01:30 PM
AKT: 12:30 PM
HST: 10:30 AM

💸 Public Bets
Tennessee State 65% / Southeast Missouri State 35%

💰 Money Distribution
Tennessee State 70% / Southeast Missouri State 30%

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Line opened at -4 and held steady at -4.5 with balanced action, no significant sharp movement noted as of 2025-12-20.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+3% on Tennessee State spread; convergence of simulations and public alignment supports value without contrarian signals.

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Tennessee State | 68% |
| Win % for Southeast Missouri State | 32% |
| Spread Cover % for Tennessee State | 60% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 52% / Under: 48% |
| Average Total Points | 142 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-2, +10] |

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment leans toward Tennessee State, aligning with sharp money indicators and simulation outcomes, making a follow strategy optimal rather than fading. Southeast Missouri State’s road inefficiencies contribute to the edge, while both teams’ mid-tempo styles suggest a game that could push toward the total without exceeding expectations. Overall scoring outlook points to a moderate contest around 142 points, driven by Tennessee State’s offensive efficiency against a permeable defense.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Tennessee State — simulations and market data confirm the highest probability of success.

Highlights unavailable.