Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

League: NFL | Date: 2025-11-30 01:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-11-30 09:44 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [Jacksonville Jaguars / Spread / -6.5 at -110 / 60% / Jaguars dominate sim with 55% cover rate; Titans’ recent wins low-scoring, vulnerable to Jags offense despite 1-10 record]
💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 42.5 at -110 / 55% / Sim avg 41.2 points, Under 52%; both teams recent games trend low (Titans unders in wins, Jags defensive struggles but low outputs)]
💰 Best Bet #3 [Jacksonville Jaguars / Moneyline / -280 / 70% / 75% sim win probability; superior form (7-4) vs Titans 1-10, key players active]

🏈 Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars on 2025-11-30

Game Times
ET: 1:00 PM
CT: 12:00 PM
MT: 11:00 AM
PT: 10:00 AM
AKT: 9:00 AM
HST: 8:00 AM

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Tennessee Titans | 25% |
| Win % for Jacksonville Jaguars | 75% |
| Spread Cover % for Tennessee Titans (+6.5) | 45% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Points | 41.2 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-12, +2] |

💸 Public Bets
Titans 25% / Jaguars 75%

💰 Money Distribution
Titans 40% / Jaguars 60%

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Opened Jaguars -5.5, moved to -6.5 with public action on favorite; stable per ESPN and FOX Sports listings

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+3.5% on Jaguars -6.5; sim convergence, no RLM against, positive EV despite public lean

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public heavily on Jaguars aligns with money distribution and simulation metrics favoring Jacksonville cover and win; no strong contrarian signal as line movement supports favorite amid high betting volume. Titans’ recent low-scoring wins (23-20, 23-13) highlight defensive strength but offensive limits, pairing with Jaguars’ recent unders for low total outlook. Follow public/sharp consensus optimal here.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Jacksonville Jaguars — highest probability backed by 75% sim win, recent form disparity (Titans 1-10, Jags 7-4), and market stability.

Highlights unavailable.