Texas Tech vs Wyoming

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-11-30 03:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-11-30 11:04 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Texas Tech / Spread / -21.5 at -110 / 58% / Simulation shows 58% cover rate with average margin +15 to +28 aligning above line; public and money heavily backing TTU confirms edge.
💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 155.5 at -110 / 52% / Avg simulated total 152 falls below Vegas line, supported by KenPom/T-Rank projections at 149 and slight under probability in model.
💰 Best Bet #3 Texas Tech / Moneyline / -2300 / 92% / Dominant 92% win probability from Monte Carlo sim, reinforced by home dominance and weak Wyoming form.

🏀 Matchup: Texas Tech vs Wyoming on 2025-11-30

Game Times
ET: 3:00 PM
CT: 2:00 PM
MT: 1:00 PM
PT: 12:00 PM
AKT: 11:00 AM
HST: 9:00 AM

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Texas Tech | 92% |
| Win % for Wyoming | 8% |
| Spread Cover % for Texas Tech | 58% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Points | 152 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [+15, +28] |

💸 Public Bets
78% Texas Tech / 22% Wyoming

💰 Money Distribution
82% Texas Tech / 18% Wyoming

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Stable at Texas Tech -21.5 after opening similar, no significant RLM despite public lean.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3.2% on Texas Tech spread; convergence of public/money action with model win projections and home dominance outweighs slightly conservative KenPom spread estimate.]

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment aligns closely with money distribution on Texas Tech, indicating consensus without sharp resistance or RLM, making following the favorite mathematically optimal given the simulation’s strong projections. Wyoming lacks firepower to compete, with Texas Tech’s home efficiency and pace favoring a comfortable cover. Overall game projects low-scoring relative to total, as both advanced metrics and model average fall under the line amid defensive focus.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Texas Tech — highest probability backed by sim dominance, market support, and matchup edges.

Highlights unavailable.