NBA

Toronto Raptors vs Charlotte Hornets

League: NBA | Date: 2025-12-05 07:30 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-12-05 06:16 PM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [Toronto Raptors / Spread / -8.5 at -110 / 65% / Raptors hold a strong 15-8 record with home advantage against a struggling Hornets team on a nine-game road skid, supported by recent form and defensive metrics allowing fewer points at Scotiabank Arena.]
💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 221.5 at -110 / 55% / Both teams exhibit moderate pace and efficiency ratings in the current season, with Raptors averaging 115 points per game and Hornets allowing 118, trending toward higher totals in back-to-back scenarios.]
💰 Best Bet #3 [Toronto Raptors / Moneyline / -350 / 72% / Raptors’ superior win percentage and matchup edges over the injury-plagued Hornets make them the clear favorite, with historical dominance in similar Eastern Conference tilts.]

Toronto Raptors vs Charlotte Hornets on 2025-12-05

Game Times
ET: 7:30 PM
CT: 6:30 PM
MT: 5:30 PM
PT: 4:30 PM
AKT: 3:30 PM
HST: 1:30 PM

💸 Public Bets
[Toronto Raptors 75% / Charlotte Hornets 25%]

💰 Money Distribution
[Toronto Raptors 65% / Charlotte Hornets 35%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
Line opened at -7.5 for Raptors and moved to -8.5 despite heavy public action on the favorite, indicating some sharp support for Toronto amid stable totals around 221.5.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+4% on Raptors spread; implied probability undervalues Raptors’ home efficiency and Hornets’ road defensive woes, with EV boosted by line movement and current season metrics showing Toronto covering 60% as favorites.]

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Toronto Raptors | 72.0% |
| Win % for Charlotte Hornets | 27.0% |
| Spread Cover % for Toronto Raptors -6.5 | 62.0% |
| Over/Under Probability 221.5 | Over: 53.0% / Under: 47.0% |
| Average Total Points | 223.4 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-1.8, 15.2] |

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment heavily favors the Raptors, aligning with sharp money as indicated by the line movement toward Toronto despite betting volume. Following the public is optimal here, given the mathematical edge from Raptors’ superior ratings and Hornets’ poor road form. Overall game scoring projects moderately high, with both teams’ offensive efficiencies suggesting a total leaning over based on pace and recent trends.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Toronto Raptors] — Raptors demonstrate the highest probability of victory through strong home performance and matchup advantages.

Highlights unavailable.