Tulane vs Utah State

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-11-21 01:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-11-21 08:27 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [Utah State / Spread / -4.5 at -110 / 60% / Utah State holds superior adjusted efficiency ratings and recent form against similar opponents, covering in 7 of last 10 neutral site games.]
💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 142.5 at -110 / 55% / Both teams play at high tempos with top-100 offensive efficiencies, leading to combined averages exceeding the line in comparable matchups.]
💰 Best Bet #3 [Utah State / Moneyline / -190 / 65% / Utah State’s depth and defensive rebounding edge provide a clear path to victory on neutral court.]

Utah State vs Tulane on 2025-11-21

Game Times
ET: 1:00 PM
CT: 12:00 PM
MT: 11:00 AM
PT: 10:00 AM
AKT: 9:00 AM
HST: 7:00 AM

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Utah State | 65.2% |
| Win % for Tulane | 34.8% |
| Spread Cover % for Utah State | 55.1% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 52.3% / Under: 47.7% |
| Average Total Points | 150.0 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-5.2, 20.1] |

💸 Public Bets
[Utah State 58% / Tulane 42%]

💰 Money Distribution
[Utah State 65% / Tulane 35%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
[Line opened at -5 and held steady at -4.5, with minimal movement despite public leaning toward Utah State.]

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3.2% on Utah State spread; implied probability undervalues their efficiency advantage per KenPom metrics.]

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

Analysis Summary
Public sentiment aligns with sharp money on Utah State, supported by their stronger adjusted offensive and defensive ratings in the early 2025 season. Following the favorite makes sense here, as no reverse line movement or contrarian indicators suggest fading. The game projects as moderately high-scoring given both teams’ up-tempo styles and weak defensive rebounding.

Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Utah State / No clear edge] — Utah State offers the best mathematical probability of winning based on simulation and market consensus.

Highlights unavailable.