UC Davis vs UC San Diego

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-22 09:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-22 11:08 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [UC Davis / Spread / -3.5 at -110 / 55% / UC Davis holds a strong home advantage in the Big West, with recent form showing 4-1 ATS in conference play, while UC San Diego struggles on the road (2-5 ATS).]
💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 140.5 at -110 / 52% / Both teams rank in the bottom half for pace and efficiency, allowing under 70 points per game defensively in recent matchups, suggesting a controlled, low-scoring affair.]
💰 Best Bet #3 [UC Davis / Moneyline / -160 / 58% / Superior overall record (11-7 vs. 9-9) and home efficiency edge make UC Davis the clear favorite against a middling UC San Diego squad.]

UC Davis vs UC San Diego on 2026-01-22

Game Times
ET: 09:00 PM
CT: 08:00 PM
MT: 07:00 PM
PT: 06:00 PM
AKT: 05:00 PM
HST: 03:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
[70% UC Davis / 30% UC San Diego]

💰 Money Distribution
[60% UC Davis / 40% UC San Diego]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
[Stable at -3.5 for UC Davis; opened at -3 and held steady despite moderate public action on the favorite.]

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3% on UC Davis spread; implied probability undervalues home team’s defensive metrics and recent ATS success in conference games.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for UC Davis | 58.2% |
| Win % for UC San Diego | 41.8% |
| Spread Cover % for UC Davis | 52.3% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 51.1% / Under: 48.9% |
| Average Total Points | 141.2 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-15.2, 20.1] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment leans toward UC Davis, aligning with sharp money indicators and mathematical projections, making following the favorite optimal in this spot. Both defenses have limited opponents to subpar efficiency in Big West play, pointing to a game under the total. Overall scoring outlook favors a grind-it-out contest below 140 points, with UC Davis controlling the pace at home.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with UC Davis] — backed by home advantage, form, and simulation edges for the highest win probability.

Highlights unavailable.