NCAAB

UC Irvine vs UC Davis
Mar 7, 2026

Bet 1 / Bet 2 / Bet 3

✗ / ✗ / ✓

33.3%

1 / 3 Correct

UC Irvine

79

UC Davis

69

Total Score: 148

Public Money Trend (updates every 4 hrs until game time)

45.00% / 55.00%

UC Irvine vs UC Davis • Last updated: Mar 9, 10:35 PM

✦

Recommended Plays

**Strongest Bet**
- UC Davis +9.5 — The market shows sharp money on the underdog spread, and some lines offer +9.5, indicating value against the public's overreaction to the favorite.
- Under 145.5 Total — Public money aligns with the under, and the matchup projects a low-paced game due to both teams' defensive focus in the Big West.

These recommended bets had a 0% hit rate!

UC Irvine vs UC Davis

League: NCAAB | Game Time: 8:00 PM ET • 7:00 PM CT • 6:00 PM MT • 5:00 PM PT | Last Updated: 2026-03-07 05:55 PM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 UC Davis / +9.5 / -110 / 58% / Recent UCI close games (margins 1-4 pts), money 56% on dog despite even bets signals sharp action

💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 145.5 at -110 / 62% / Public 61% bets/67% money on under aligns with low line vs UCI recent totals averaging 154 but matchup projects low pace

💰 Best Bet #3 UC Irvine / Moneyline / -500 / 82% / Dominant favorite with home edge, 92% public alignment confirmed by sim

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for UC Irvine Anteaters | 82% |
| Win % for UC Davis Aggies | 18% |
| Spread Cover % for UC Irvine Anteaters | 48% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 51% / Under: 49% |
| Average Total Points | 145 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [ -2, 20 ] |

🏀 UC Irvine Anteaters vs UC Davis Aggies
💸 Public Bets
49% UCI / 51% UCD (spread)
💰 Money Distribution
44% UCI / 56% UCD
💹 Market Alignment
Divergent
📉 Line Movement
Stable at -9.5 / 145.5 across books
💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+3.5% on UC Davis +9.5; money disparity > public bets indicates value

Top 3 Player Props
Player Prop #1: Derin Saran / Over 17.5 Points / -112 / 75% / Leads UCI scoring in recent games (avg 19 pts last 3), favorable matchup vs UCD def
Player Prop #2: B. Fagbemi / Over 12.5 Points / -110 / 70% / Key UCD scorer, usage up without injuries, UCI allows 70 pts avg
Player Prop #3: Jurian Dixon / Over 5.5 Assists / -105 / 72% / UCI playmaker thrives at home (6+ ast recent), UCD turnover-prone

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public heavily backs UCI ML (92%) with money alignment, but spread shows divergence with 56% money on UCD +9.5 despite even bets, suggesting sharp resistance to favorite. Metrics and sim favor under due to defensive focus in Big West, UCI recent close wins limit blowouts. Fade public ML overreaction, follow money on dog spread and under.

🔮 Recommended Play
Fade the public on UC Irvine — UC Davis +9.5

Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.

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NCAAB

Public Money Trend (updates every 4 hrs until game time)

UC Irvine vs UC Davis

Post ID: 41931 – Game ID: 494421