NCAAB
UMass Lowell vs 
Binghamton
League: NCAAB | Game Time: 1:00 PM ET • 12:00 PM CT • 11:00 AM MT • 10:00 AM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-21 07:45 AM EST
💰 Best Bet #1 UMass Lowell River Hawks / Spread / -9.5 at -110 / 55% / UMass Lowell dominates as heavy home favorite with superior recent form convergence and home-court edge outweighing slight money on dog.
💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 146.5 at -110 / 54% / Defensive matchups and public money lean (42% over bets) point to low-scoring affair below line based on pace and efficiency trends.
💰 Best Bet #3 UMass Lowell River Hawks / Moneyline / -450 / 78% / Overwhelming public (89%) and money (94%) alignment with model win probability supports heavy favorite cashing straight up.
Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for UMass Lowell River Hawks | 82% |
| Win % for Binghamton Bearcats | 18% |
| Spread Cover % for UMass Lowell River Hawks | 53% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 47% / Under: 53% |
| Average Total Points | 145 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-14, 34] |
—
UMass Lowell River Hawks vs Binghamton Bearcats
💸 Public Bets
[49% UMass Lowell / 51% Binghamton] (spread)
💰 Money Distribution
[44% UMass Lowell / 56% Binghamton]
💹 Market Alignment
Divergent
📉 Line Movement
Stable—no significant shifts observed in tier1 lines from -9.5.
💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+2.5% on UMass Lowell -9.5; model cover probability (53%) exceeds implied (52.4%) amid low-volume divergence favoring home metrics.
Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.
—
⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public betting splits near even on spread but money favors Binghamton underdog, signaling potential sharp resistance; however, moneyline shows strong alignment (89% bets/94% money) on UMass Lowell, supported by model projections. Fade elements of public spread action justified by reverse lean but overall math converges on home dominance. Expect low-scoring output under 146.5 given defensive efficiencies and conference unders trend (53% sim probability).
🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with UMass Lowell—mathematical edge on spread and moneyline despite minor divergence.
Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.
Highlights unavailable.