UT Arlington vs Utah Tech

League: NCAAB | Game Time: 8:00 PM ET • 7:00 PM CT • 6:00 PM MT • 5:00 PM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-19 09:27 PM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 UT-Arlington / Spread / -9.5 at -110 / 62% / Even public bets but money 55% on home favorite signals sharp action aligning with heavy favoritism and home advantage.
💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 127.5 at -110 / 55% / Low total line reflects defensive efficiencies implied by market; recent low-volume trends favor controlled scoring.
💰 Best Bet #3 UT-Arlington / Moneyline / -2800 / 92% / Overwhelming consensus across books with model projecting dominant win probability.

Simulation Results (10,000 Monte Carlo Runs)
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for UT-Arlington | 92.0% |
| Win % for Utah Tech | 8.0% |
| Spread Cover % for UT-Arlington | 58.0% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Points | 127.8 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-9.2, 29.8] |

🏀 UT-Arlington Mavericks vs Utah Tech Trailblazers

💸 Public Bets
[50% / 50%]

💰 Money Distribution
[55% / 45%]

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Stable near -9.5 to -11.5 across major books; no significant RLM observed.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+4% on UT-Arlington -9.5 (model cover 58% vs. -110 implied ~52%); positive EV from money % > bets % convergence.

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment evenly split on spread but money tilts to UT-Arlington, aligning with sharp indicators and model edges for home dominance. Follow public/money consensus on favorite as no contrarian signals like RLM present. Game projects low-scoring with under favored from total distribution and implied defensive matchup.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with UT-Arlington — model and market math confirm highest probability on home side.

Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.

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