NCAAB

UT Arlington vs Utah Valley State

League: NCAAB | Game Time: 3:00 PM ET • 2:00 PM CT • 1:00 PM MT • 12:00 PM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-21 08:55 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Utah Valley Wolverines / -5.5 / -110 / 58% / Public 54% bets and 59% money on away despite low-volume game, aligned with line favoring away by 5.5
💰 Best Bet #2 Under / 140.5 / -110 / 55% / Recent away game totaled 149 but defensive trends and pace suggest below line, under favored in splits
💰 Best Bet #3 Utah Valley Wolverines / Moneyline / -240 / 62% / Implied prob aligns with model estimate from spread, strong consensus

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for UT-Arlington Mavericks | 29% |
| Win % for Utah Valley Wolverines | 71% |
| Spread Cover % for UT-Arlington Mavericks (+5.5) | 51% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 50% / Under: 50% |
| Average Total Points | 140.5 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-30, 20] |

🏈 Matchup: UT-Arlington Mavericks vs Utah Valley Wolverines on 2026-02-21
💸 Public Bets
[46% / 54%]
💰 Money Distribution
[41% / 59%]
💹 Market Alignment
Divergent
📉 Line Movement
Stable across sources at -5.5 away
💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+3% on Utah Valley ML — implied 70.6% vs model 71%, positive from alignment and recent away competitiveness

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment and sharp money both lean Utah Valley (54% bets, 59% handle on spread), creating consensus without RLM signals—follow optimal as metrics support favorite. No injuries reported, limited recent data shows away scoring 70 in last outing. Game projects low-scoring around 140.5 total based on pace and defensive splits.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Utah Valley — highest probability edge per convergence.

Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.

Highlights unavailable.