UT Martin vs Western Illinois

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-01 04:30 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-01 10:59 AM EST

Top 3 Overall Best Bets

💰 Best Bet #1 UT Martin / Spread / -14.5 at -110 / 60% / UT Martin’s strong home form (six-game streak) and superior efficiency ratings against a struggling Western Illinois team (0-2 OVC) support covering the spread, aligned with simulation cover probability exceeding implied odds.

💰 Best Bet #2 Over / Total / 137.5 at -110 / 55% / Both teams’ recent games show moderate scoring trends, with UT Martin’s offense averaging high efficiency and Western Illinois allowing points freely, pushing the total above the line per average simulated points of 140.

💰 Best Bet #3 UT Martin / Moneyline / -1400 / 85% / Heavy favoritism backed by 9-4 record and key player performances like Bukumirovic’s recent 28-point outing, giving high win probability in this mismatch.

UT Martin vs Western Illinois on 2026-01-01

Game Times

ET: 4:30 PM
CT: 3:30 PM
MT: 2:30 PM
PT: 1:30 PM
AKT: 12:30 PM
HST: 10:30 AM

💸 Public Bets
75% / 25%

💰 Money Distribution
65% / 35%

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Line opened at -13.5 and moved to -14.5 with balanced action, no significant reverse movement observed as of latest updates.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+3.2% on UT Martin spread, driven by convergence of home form, efficiency ratings, and simulation win probabilities exceeding implied odds.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for UT Martin | 85% |
| Win % for Western Illinois | 15% |
| Spread Cover % for UT Martin | 60% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 52% / Under: 48% |
| Average Total Points | 140 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [10, 22] |

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment heavily favors UT Martin, aligning with money distribution and sharp indicators, making following the favorite the optimal approach rather than fading. No significant reverse line movement or contrarian edges appear, supported by UT Martin’s home dominance and Western Illinois’ poor road form. The game outlook leans toward moderate-to-high scoring, with offensive efficiencies suggesting the total could exceed expectations despite defensive efforts.

🔮 Recommended Play

Follow the public with UT Martin — the mathematical probability favors the Skyhawks based on form, simulation outcomes, and market consensus.

Highlights unavailable.