Utah Mammoth vs Philadelphia Flyers

League: NHL | Date: 2026-01-21 09:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-21 10:44 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Utah Mammoth / Puck Line / -1.5 at +140 / 52% / Utah’s resurgent homestand and Flyers’ defensive injuries create value on the spread, with simulation showing near-even cover probability but positive EV from home-ice edge.
💰 Best Bet #2 Over / Total / 6 at -110 / 50% / Data leans under due to average goals at 5.8, but NHL-specific contrarian flip favors over amid potential Flyers’ goaltending issues and Utah’s offensive momentum.
💰 Best Bet #3 Utah Mammoth / Moneyline / -155 / 58% / Simulation win probability of 55% exceeds implied odds, supported by public and money alignment without sharp resistance.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Utah Mammoth | 55% |
| Win % for Philadelphia Flyers | 40% |
| Spread Cover % for Utah Mammoth | 48% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Goals | 5.8 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-1.5, 3.2] |

Utah Mammoth vs Philadelphia Flyers on 2026-01-21

Game Times
ET: 9:00 PM
CT: 8:00 PM
MT: 7:00 PM
PT: 6:00 PM
AKT: 5:00 PM
HST: 3:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
Utah Mammoth 62% / Philadelphia Flyers 38%

💰 Money Distribution
Utah Mammoth 58% / Philadelphia Flyers 42%

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Line stable at Utah -1.5 and total 6.0, with minor steam toward Utah ML amid public favoritism but no significant RLM indicating sharp divergence.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+3.2% on Utah puck line, driven by home advantage and Flyers’ recent 1-7 underdog skid; totals show marginal under value but flipped for contrarian scoring outlook.

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment heavily favors Utah, aligning with money distribution and stable lines, indicating no sharp divergence to fade—following the public here aligns with mathematical edges from home advantage and Flyers’ injury concerns on defense and goaltending. Utah’s seven-game point streak contrasts Philadelphia’s four-game slide, supporting a moderate-scoring affair where defensive metrics suggest under lean, but the flipped outlook anticipates over due to matchup vulnerabilities. Overall, value exists without forcing contrarian plays.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Utah Mammoth — simulation and market consensus point to strong home win probability.

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