Utah State vs San Jose State

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-03 04:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-03 12:19 PM EST

Utah State vs San Jose State on 2026-01-03

💰 Best Bet #1 [Utah State / Spread / -21.5 at -110 / 65% / Utah State’s dominant home efficiency and San Jose State’s injury-plagued roster create a strong edge for covering the large spread.]
💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 142.5 at -110 / 52% / Combined offensive paces and Utah State’s scoring trends suggest the total pushes slightly above the line despite San Jose State’s struggles.]
💰 Best Bet #3 [Utah State / Moneyline / -2500 / 92% / Overwhelming home advantage and superior metrics make Utah State the clear favorite against a faltering San Jose State.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Utah State | 92.0% |
| Win % for San Jose State | 8.0% |
| Spread Cover % for Utah State | 55.0% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 52.0% / Under: 48.0% |
| Average Total Points | 142.0 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [15.0, 45.0] |

Game Times
ET: 4:00 PM
CT: 3:00 PM
MT: 2:00 PM
PT: 1:00 PM
AKT: 12:00 PM
HST: 10:00 AM

💸 Public Bets
[Utah State 85% / San Jose State 15%]

💰 Money Distribution
[Utah State 95% / San Jose State 5%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
Line opened at -20 for Utah State and moved to -21.5 amid heavy public action on the favorite, indicating sustained support without sharp resistance.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3% on Utah State spread; implied probability undervalues Utah State’s home dominance and San Jose State’s 5-8 record with key injuries, creating positive EV based on efficiency ratings.]

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment heavily favors Utah State, aligning with sharp money distribution and line movement, making it optimal to follow rather than fade. San Jose State’s injury issues further tilt the matchup toward the Aggies. Overall game scoring outlook points to a moderate total, with Utah State’s offense driving points but San Jose State’s defense capping the underdog’s output.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Utah State] — heavy consensus and metrics confirm the highest probability on the favorite.

Highlights unavailable.