Utah Tech vs UC Riverside

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-11-29 05:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-11-29 10:40 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Utah Tech / Spread / -4.5 at -110 / 58% / Utah Tech holds edge as 4-5 team favored at home per latest lines, superior pace control and defensive 3PT denial against UCR’s middling offense

💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 144.5 at -110 / 62% / Both teams play slow tempos (Utah Tech 311th, UCR 187th in pace), poor 3PT efficiency meets strong opp 3PT defense, projecting avg total 142

💰 Best Bet #3 Utah Tech / Moneyline / -190 / 65% / Favorites align with records (4-5 vs 4-3) and home-court metrics in low-volume matchup

Utah Tech vs UC Riverside on 2025-11-29

Game Times
ET: 05:00 PM
CT: 04:00 PM
MT: 03:00 PM
PT: 02:00 PM
AKT: 01:00 PM
HST: 11:00 AM

💸 Public Bets
Utah Tech 65% / UC Riverside 35%

💰 Money Distribution
Utah Tech 58% / UC Riverside 42%

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Stable at Utah Tech -4.5 from open, no significant RLM despite moderate public lean

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+3.2% on Under 144.5; slow paces and 3PT mismatch undervalue low-scoring projection vs implied 50/50

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Utah Tech | 62% |
| Win % for UC Riverside | 38% |
| Spread Cover % for Utah Tech -4.5 | 54% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Points | 142 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-8, +1] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment leans Utah Tech aligning with money distribution and stable lines, supporting follow over fade in this low-hype matchup. Sharp action implied in under via pace and shooting metrics convergence. Game outlook low-scoring given defensive efficiencies and slow tempos limiting possessions.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Utah Tech — highest probability edge on spread and ML per sim and market data.

Highlights unavailable.