UTSA Roadrunners vs SIU-Edwardsville Cougars

League: NCAAB | Date: 2025-11-07 01:30 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-11-07 07:14 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 UTSA Roadrunners / Spread / -6.5 at -110 / 58% / UTSA’s home advantage and superior adjusted efficiency ratings from early season metrics give them a clear edge to cover against a SIUE team still finding rhythm after one game.

💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 152.5 at -110 / 55% / Both teams showed defensive solidity in openers, with UTSA allowing under 70 points at home historically and SIUE’s slower tempo suggesting a controlled, lower-scoring affair early in the season.

💰 Best Bet #3 UTSA Roadrunners / Moneyline / -275 / 72% / Consensus line movement favors UTSA as the stronger program, with home-court boosting their win probability against an unproven SIUE squad.

UTSA Roadrunners vs SIU-Edwardsville Cougars on 2025-11-07

Game Times

ET: 1:30 PM
CT: 12:30 PM
MT: 11:30 AM
PT: 10:30 AM
AKT: 9:30 AM
HST: 8:30 AM

💸 Public Bets

70% UTSA Roadrunners / 30% SIU-Edwardsville Cougars

💰 Money Distribution

65% UTSA Roadrunners / 35% SIU-Edwardsville Cougars

💹 Market Alignment

Aligned

📉 Line Movement

Line opened at UTSA -7.5 but has ticked down to -6.5 across major books like DraftKings and BetMGM, reflecting some sharp action on the favorite despite public leaning toward UTSA.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)

+3.2% on UTSA spread, driven by home efficiency advantage and SIUE’s road challenges in early simulations.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for UTSA Roadrunners | 72% |
| Win % for SIU-Edwardsville Cougars | 25% |
| Spread Cover % for UTSA Roadrunners | 58% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Points | 152.2 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [2.1, 11.3] |

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment heavily favors UTSA, aligning with sharp money indicators and line stability, making a follow on the Roadrunners the optimal path based on early season form and home metrics. Both defenses held opponents under 75 points in openers, pointing to a game under the total despite neutral offensive paces. Overall scoring outlook leans toward the under, with UTSA’s rebounding edge limiting SIUE’s second chances.

🔮 Recommended Play

Follow the public with UTSA Roadrunners — mathematical projections confirm their edge as the home favorite in this matchup.

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