Vegas Golden Knights vs St. Louis Blues

League: NHL | Date: 2026-01-10 10:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-10 11:25 AM EST

Vegas Golden Knights vs St. Louis Blues on 2026-01-10

💰 Best Bet #1 [St. Louis Blues / Spread / +1.5 at -110 / 62% / Blues show strong cover probability in simulation against Vegas’s home puck line, supported by recent road resilience and balanced money distribution despite public favoritism toward the Knights.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 5.5 at -110 / 52% / Matchup metrics indicate a slight lean over but historical NHL prediction adjustments favor the under, with both teams’ defensive efficiencies and average goals aligning for a tighter contest.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Vegas Golden Knights / Moneyline / -150 / 55% / Knights hold a 55% win edge per simulations, bolstered by home-ice advantage and superior xGF metrics in the current season.]

Game Times

ET: 10:00 PM
CT: 9:00 PM
MT: 8:00 PM
PT: 7:00 PM
AKT: 6:00 PM
HST: 4:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
[Vegas 65% / Blues 35%]

💰 Money Distribution
[Vegas 55% / Blues 45%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
[Stable at Vegas -1.5; opened at -1.5 and held firm despite moderate public action on home team, indicating sharp balance.]

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3% on Blues +1.5; public favors Vegas but sim and recent Blues road resilience against Pacific teams create value on the underdog spread.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Vegas Golden Knights | 55.0% |
| Win % for St. Louis Blues | 45.0% |
| Spread Cover % for Vegas Golden Knights | 38.0% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 52.0% / Under: 48.0% |
| Average Total Goals | 5.70 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-2.0, 3.0] |

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment leans heavily toward the Vegas Golden Knights, aligning with money distribution but creating a mathematical edge on the Blues’ spread as sharp balance holds the line steady. Following the public on the moneyline is viable given the Knights’ home advantage and simulation win probability, though fading on the puck line offers better EV based on recent form and defensive matchups. Overall game scoring projects moderately, with both teams’ current season xGA suggesting a controlled pace favoring the under after adjustments.

🔮 Recommended Play

[Fade the public on St. Louis Blues +1.5] — simulation cover rates and EV calculations point to value in the underdog spread despite public action on Vegas.

Highlights unavailable.