Washington State vs Oregon State

League: NCAAF | Date: 2025-11-29 06:30 PM EST | Last Updated: 2025-11-29 09:51 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Washington State -13.5 at -110 55% Strong home performance against weak OSU offense allowing 38+ PPG recently, superior yards per play.

💰 Best Bet #2 Under 54.5 at -110 62% Both teams trending low-scoring in recent games (WSU avg total 52, OSU 70 but losses), defensive matchup favors under.

💰 Best Bet #3 Washington State Moneyline -550 78% 5-6 record vs OSU 2-9, home edge seals win probability.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Washington State | 78.2% |
| Win % for Oregon State | 20.1% |
| Spread Cover % for Washington State | 55.3% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 38.4% / Under: 61.6% |
| Average Total Points | 48.2 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [ -5.2, 32.1 ] |

🏈 Washington State vs Oregon State on 2025-11-29

Game Times
ET: 06:30 PM
CT: 05:30 PM
MT: 04:30 PM
PT: 03:30 PM
AKT: 02:30 PM
HST: 12:30 PM

💸 Public Bets
Washington State 74% / Oregon State 26%

💰 Money Distribution
Washington State 68% / Oregon State 32%

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Opened Washington State -12.5, moved to -13.5 to -14 amid heavy public action on home favorite per FOX Sports and OregonLive previews.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+4.2% on Washington State spread; simulation cover rate exceeds implied 52.4% odds probability, supported by records and recent form.

Top 3 Player Props
Player Prop #1: Damarius Russell / Over Rushing Yards / 65.5 / -115 / 72% WSU RB leads backfield usage (avg 72 yds recent), OSU rush D weak (allows 180+ ypg).
Player Prop #2: Maalik Murphy / Under Passing Yards / 210.5 / -110 / 68% OSU QB turnover-prone, WSU pass D top-40 havoc rate limits big plays.
Player Prop #3: Zevi Eckhaus / Over Passing Yards / 245.5 / -112 / 70% WSU home passing efficiency high vs OSU secondary allowing 280+ ypg.

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public heavily on Washington State aligning with money distribution and line movement toward heavier favorite, indicating no sharp resistance—follow optimal. Both defenses solid in recent low-total games (under in 4/6 combined), projecting controlled scoring under total despite neutral weather in Pullman. OSU’s poor form (2-9, blowout losses) undervalues WSU edge.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Washington State — highest probability backed by sim, records, and market consensus.

Highlights unavailable.